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Florida Panthers at New York Rangers

FinalTV NHLN, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Florida Panthers 3-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Sykora's goal at 5:10 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.9, NYR 3.0; shots on goal were FLA 27, NYR 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Igor Shesterkin stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (26 saves, .963), 2. Conor Sheary (1 G), 3. Adam Fox (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    NYR
    C. Sheary1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0150319127
NYRNYR050839322

Scoring

4 goals

3rd period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox (36), N. Laba (13)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +27 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:10
  2. NYR
    C. Sheary(5)SHG
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:14
  3. NYR
    A. Fox(6)EN
    wristxG 0.46win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-3
    16:06
  4. FLA
    1-3
    19:19

Penalties

FLA 7 PIM·NYR 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:53NYRDrew Fortescue · Delaying game2 min
  • 19:35FLALuke Kunin · Fightingdrawn by Adam Sykora5 min
  • 19:35NYRAdam Sykora · Fightingdrawn by Luke Kunin5 min

2nd

  • 18:14FLADmitry Kulikov · Hookingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

3rd

  • 9:17NYRJonny Brodzinski · Slashingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
  • 12:14NYRBraden Schneider · Trippingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalFLA goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Sykora, 3rd 5:10 — NYR 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Laba · Missed · xG 0.87A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.46B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.18M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.15N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.14N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.12J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.11N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.09J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08A. Sykora · Goal · xG 0.07C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.04B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fortescue · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.01M. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.01G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.01N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.00A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 3.0 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNYR
2.91 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.11 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA70%30%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNYR
27
Shots on goal
22
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/3
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
11
15
Hits
24
10
Blocked shots
21
9
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000-110.10000—24:00
5A. EkbladD000+100.01010—21:14
42G. ForslingD000-130.13110—20:26
23C. VerhaegheC000-220.500006719:52
19M. TkachukL000-230.58120—19:03
11M. SamoskevichR101020.10000—17:43
6D. SebrangoD000-110.01100—17:42
27E. LuostarinenC000-120.341004217:23
70J. BoqvistC011+120.33200816:51
10A. GreerL000+110.15220—16:42
20M. BenningD011-220.09000—16:41
7D. KulikovD000+120.07002—15:59
92T. NosekL000-120.181006714:51
24V. HinostrozaC000-130.25000014:50
18N. GregorL000-210.081105013:29
25N. FooteL000-100.00110—11:32
29C. ReinhardtL000000.00110—11:27
71L. KuninC000000.003154409:41
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)21192.9051.69-0.3158:34

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).