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Mammoth at Flames
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
1
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV Utah16, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Zary's goal at 8:27 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were UTA 29, CGY 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.2 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Pachal (1 G, 2 A), 2. Matt Coronato (1 G), 3. Zayne Parekh (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    B. Pachal1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Coronato1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    Z. Parekh1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA04011114129
CGYCGY2140326423

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Coronato(18)
    M. Frost (21), B. Pachal (5)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:06
  2. CGY
    C. Zary(12)
    Z. Parekh (5), Z. Whitecloud (13)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:27

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(17)
    B. Coleman (15), B. Pachal (6)
    pokexG 0.21win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    6:01
  2. CGY
    B. Pachal(1)
    A. Suniev (1), O. Maatta (13)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    9:10
  3. UTA
    L. Crouse(23)
    C. Keller (59), M. Weegar (22)
    wristxG 0.03Video
    1-4
    11:20

Penalties

UTA 8 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:25CGYserved by Adam Klapka · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:53UTAClayton Keller · Slashingdrawn by Olli Maatta2 min
  • 18:08UTAClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min

2nd

  • 1:10CGYMatt Coronato · Trippingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 15:41CGYAdam Klapka · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min

3rd

  • 6:01UTAserved by K. Yamamoto · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 13:10UTAserved by M. Carcone · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalUTA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Zary, 1st 8:27 — CGY 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.26C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.26M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.21O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.16V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.14B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.14M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.14B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.13M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.10B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.09C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.09M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.09C. Zary · Goal · xG 0.09M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.07M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.06T. Gross · Missed · xG 0.06M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05A. Suniev · Missed · xG 0.05M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.05M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.03M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pachal · Goal · xG 0.02M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.02M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.01M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01
CGY4 G · 2.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsCGY
2.31 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA42%58%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsCGY
29
Shots on goal
23
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
7
13
Blocked shots
16
22
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000010.04000—22:25
52M. WeegarD011020.10230—21:23
8N. SchmaltzC000030.260102720:49
28I. ColeD000-210.02010—20:06
88N. SchmidtD000-110.01100—19:53
9C. KellerR011020.2602410019:21
67L. CrouseL101020.08000—18:55
50S. DurziD000-260.14020—16:50
92L. CooleyC000-210.080007516:17
11D. GuentherR000-210.26300—15:38
82K. StenlundC000-110.080104715:07
15A. KerfootC000000.001005015:01
77J. PeterkaR000-120.35000—14:01
26D. SimashevD000-100.01210—13:31
53M. CarconeL000010.10200—12:03
56K. YamamotoR000-210.01310—11:21
38L. O'BrienC000-120.30400010:29
13B. TanevL000020.15210—09:07
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)23194.8262.76-1.2459:46

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).