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Calgary Flames at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV Utah16, SN360·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Flames scored first; the Mammoth answered. The Mammoth led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was JJ Peterka's goal at 4:24 of the second period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 4.0 to 3.3; shots on goal were CGY 20, UTA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. JJ Peterka (1 G), 2. Karel Vejmelka (19 saves, .950), 3. Barrett Hayton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    J. Peterka1 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka19 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    B. Hayton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1503012120
UTAUTA01021814332

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    slapxG 0.33win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:37

2nd period

  1. UTA
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:16
  2. UTA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.31win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:24

3rd period

  1. UTA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.45win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:37

Penalties

CGY 21 PIM·UTA 17 PIM

1st

  • 7:21UTAMikhail Sergachev · High stickingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 10:44UTAKevin Stenlund · Interferencedrawn by Matt Coronato2 min
  • 13:44CGYAdam Klapka · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 14:34UTAClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Samuel Honzek2 min
  • 18:01CGYMorgan Frost · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

2nd

  • 6:50CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Interferencedrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 8:10UTAJack McBain · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 8:10UTAKailer Yamamoto · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
  • 8:10CGYKevin Bahl · Roughingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 8:10CGYJoel Farabee · Roughingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 9:32CGYBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 11:38UTAJack McBain · Fightingdrawn by Adam Klapka5 min
  • 11:38CGYAdam Klapka · Fightingdrawn by Jack McBain5 min
  • 13:48CGYBrayden Pachal · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Guenther2 min

3rd

  • 2:57CGYMikael Backlund · Roughingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 10:47UTAKarel Vejmelka · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalCGY goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: JJ Peterka, 2nd 4:24 — UTA 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Stenlund · Goal · xG 0.45J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.31L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.21L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.20C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.19L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.18D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.15D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.15J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.13L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.13J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.12L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.11K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.11B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.10B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.10C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.07D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.03D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01D. Simashev · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00D. Simashev · On goal · xG 0.00N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA3 G · 4.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsUTA
3.31 G
All situations
2 G4.0
2.10 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
1.11 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY45%55%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.23 – 3.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsUTA
20
Shots on goal
32
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/4
Power play
0/6
21
Penalty minutes
17
21
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
17
11
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000-200.04222—23:54
4R. AnderssonD101020.49010—23:23
7K. BahlD000000.00032—23:16
86J. FarabeeL000-140.53202—19:49
91N. KadriC011-110.170106219:46
11M. BacklundC000-110.012025719:09
20B. ColemanL000-120.5310210017:58
19Z. ParekhD000-220.14120—17:25
27M. CoronatoR000-130.46000—16:11
16M. FrostC011-110.121025015:01
44J. HanleyD000-100.00020—14:36
17Y. SharangovichC000010.31000013:38
47C. ZaryC000010.02000013:35
94B. PachalD000-100.04112—13:22
29S. HonzekL000-120.20210—13:00
23J. KirklandC000-100.001006309:19
70R. LombergL000-100.01610—08:26
43A. KlapkaR000-100.24207—07:30
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley(L)31292.9353.59+1.5958:42

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).