Calgary Flames at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Utah Mammoth beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Flames scored first; the Mammoth answered. The Mammoth led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was JJ Peterka's goal at 4:24 of the second period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 4.0 to 3.3; shots on goal were CGY 20, UTA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. JJ Peterka (1 G), 2. Karel Vejmelka (19 saves, .950), 3. Barrett Hayton (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Peterka1 G

- ★★K. Vejmelka19 saves, .950

- ★★★B. Hayton1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-08:37
2nd period
1-11:16
1-24:24
3rd period
1-319:37
Penalties
1st
- 7:21
Mikhail Sergachev · High stickingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
- 10:44
Kevin Stenlund · Interferencedrawn by Matt Coronato2 min
- 13:44
Adam Klapka · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
- 14:34
Clayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Samuel Honzek2 min
- 18:01
Morgan Frost · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
2nd
- 6:50
MacKenzie Weegar · Interferencedrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
- 8:10
Jack McBain · Cross checkingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
- 8:10
Kailer Yamamoto · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
- 8:10
Kevin Bahl · Roughingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
- 8:10
Joel Farabee · Roughingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
- 9:32
Blake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
- 11:38
Jack McBain · Fightingdrawn by Adam Klapka5 min
- 11:38
Adam Klapka · Fightingdrawn by Jack McBain5 min
- 13:48
Brayden Pachal · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Guenther2 min
3rd
- 2:57
Mikael Backlund · Roughingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
- 10:47
Karel Vejmelka · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: JJ Peterka, 2nd 4:24 — 53% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.31 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.0
- 2.10 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.0
- 1.11 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.6
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.23 – 3.57
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 20
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/6
- 21
- Penalty minutes
- 17
- 21
- Hits
- 25
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 11
- Giveaways
- 10
- 5
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
