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Utah Mammoth at Calgary Flames

FinalTV NHLN, Utah16·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Utah Mammoth 2-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yegor Sharangovich's goal at 0:16 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 54% to 65%. Expected goals were close — UTA 2.7, CGY 2.9; shots on goal were UTA 28, CGY 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Wolf (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Rasmus Andersson, 3. Yegor Sharangovich (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Wolf28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    Y. Sharangovich1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA0120907028
CGYCGY190519223

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.38win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:16

3rd period

  1. CGY
    C. Zary(4)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.49win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:46

Penalties

UTA 7 PIM·CGY 9 PIM

1st

  • 4:40UTANick Schmaltz · High stickingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

2nd

  • 6:44UTALiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
  • 6:44CGYRyan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 14:18CGYNazem Kadri · Holdingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min

3rd

  • 19:58CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Holding the stickdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalUTA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Yegor Sharangovich, 1st 0:16 — CGY 54% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Zary · Goal · xG 0.49Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.38M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.23B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.20M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.14R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.11R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.11M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.06R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.05M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.05A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsCGY
2.70 G
All situations
1 G2.9
2.70 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA57%43%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
23
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/2
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
9
22
Hits
20
14
Blocked shots
19
17
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
50S. DurziD000-110.04020—24:19
98M. SergachevD000-230.08110—22:12
88N. SchmidtD000010.09220—21:43
77J. PeterkaR000-120.21000—21:34
9C. KellerR000-120.090105021:23
8N. SchmaltzC000-130.251322920:33
6J. MarinoD000-100.05100—20:26
11D. GuentherR000-130.152003316:57
67L. CrouseL000-120.42110—15:53
28I. ColeD000000.00210—15:53
22J. McBainC000-110.443105514:38
53M. CarconeL000-130.12000—14:16
27B. HaytonC000000.000002514:13
10M. LamoureuxD000010.02200—13:27
19D. ButL000020.29020—13:25
82K. StenlundC000000.020004411:42
56K. YamamotoR000020.19000—09:29
38L. O'BrienC000020.28705006:47
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)22211.9552.40+1.4059:10

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).