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Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV KTTV, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in overtime, Marco Rossi scoring at 4:50. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Rossi's goal at 4:50 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were VAN 26, ANA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Nikita Tolopilo stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Lukas Dostal stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cutter Gauthier (2 G), 2. Leo Carlsson (1 G), 3. Marco Rossi (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    M. Rossi1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN210061317426
ANAANA190102701327

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.41win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:41
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.23win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:49
  3. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(21)PPG
    M. Rossi (22), F. Hronek (40)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:37

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser(22)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.24win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:28
  2. ANA
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:05
  3. ANA
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:56

Overtime

  1. VAN
    M. Rossi(12)PPG
    Z. Buium (20), B. Boeser (25)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    4:50

Penalties

VAN 14 PIM·ANA 16 PIM

1st

  • 1:36VANTeddy Blueger · Cross checkingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 11:53VANTeddy Blueger · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 11:53ANARadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Teddy Blueger5 min
  • 13:34ANABeckett Sennecke · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:44VANCurtis Douglas · Fightingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel5 min
  • 14:44ANAJeffrey Viel · Fightingdrawn by Curtis Douglas5 min
  • 19:18ANATyson Hinds · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 3:45VANDrew O'Connor · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

OT

  • 2:53ANAChris Kreider · Slashingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVAN goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Marco Rossi, OT 4:50 — VAN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.41A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.22M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.18L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.17A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.17A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.16B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.13T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.12A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.11B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.11L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.11T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.10M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.10J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.09M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.09T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.09C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.09C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.09B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.08C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.05L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.03L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.03I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01
ANA3 G · 3.5 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsANA
2.64 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
1.12 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN37%63%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsANA
26
Shots on goal
27
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/3
Power play
1/2
14
Penalty minutes
16
16
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
9
15
Giveaways
22
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011-250.33000—27:42
29M. PetterssonD000000.00100—23:36
6B. BoeserR112-130.52100—23:08
5T. WillanderD000010.00210—22:03
40E. PetterssonC000010.170204021:07
74J. DeBruskL101020.10000—19:23
93M. RossiC112020.500003318:49
92L. OhgrenL000-100.00100—18:47
24Z. BuiumD011-130.15030—18:16
18D. O'ConnorL000010.02102—16:27
25E. PetterssonD000+200.00510—16:07
94L. KarlssonC000000.00110015:57
21N. HoglanderL000020.11100—15:55
53T. BluegerC000000.150074214:43
59K. KudryavtsevD011+120.04010—14:17
39T. MuellerC000+100.101008310:26
54A. RätyC011-130.170105610:05
42C. DouglasC101+110.23205006:19
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60N. Tolopilo(W)27243.8893.49+0.4964:50

Season series

VAN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).