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Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Anaheim Ducks 2-0. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drew O'Connor's goal at 10:18 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were ANA 33, VAN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Nikita Tolopilo stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 3.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Tolopilo (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Drew O'Connor (1 G), 3. Lukas Dostal (24 saves, .960).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    N. Tolopilo32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    VAN
    D. O'Connor1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    L. Dostal24 saves, .960

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA09014010033
VANVAN090829226

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

  1. VAN
    slapxG 0.10win prob +32 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:18
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.41win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:32

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:48VANJake DeBrusk · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min
  • 14:39ANAJeffrey Viel · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Tolopilo2 min
  • 17:59ANARyan Poehling · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Nikita Tolopilo2 min

2nd

  • 4:23VANTyler Myers · Holdingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min

3rd

  • 2:53ANADrew Helleson · Cross checkingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 19:11VANConor Garland · Slashingdrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalANA goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Drew O'Connor, 3rd 10:18 — VAN 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Blueger · Goal · xG 0.41E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.27E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.15F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.14J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.14L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.14D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.10L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.10L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Willander · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.00F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.00J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 2.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVAN
3.20 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.20 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA74%26%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVAN
33
Shots on goal
26
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
10
13
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65J. TroubaD000-120.04030—25:13
2J. LaCombeD000-220.16010—25:07
64M. GranlundC000-220.050006822:31
45B. SenneckeR000-230.62100—21:00
98P. MintyukovD000000.00010—20:26
61C. GauthierL000-140.561006720:01
17A. KillornL000-220.29000—19:37
25R. PoehlingC000030.090125618:19
20C. KreiderL000-140.54100—16:35
51O. ZellwegerD000020.44110—16:26
7R. GudasD000000.02010—15:14
14D. HellesonD000010.01012—14:13
28J. VielL000030.13412—13:25
24J. HarkinsC000010.123002511:35
42T. WasheC000010.053301109:42
12S. ColangeloR000020.04100—09:29
74I. MooreD000010.05100—09:10
44R. JohnstonL000000.00500—08:10
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)25241.9601.86+0.8657:47

Season series

VAN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).