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Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils

Final/OTTV MSGSN2, TSN5·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Nico Hischier scoring at 3:18. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Senators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nico Hischier's goal at 3:18 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were OTT 30, NJD 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. James Reimer stopped 26 of 30 (.867); Nico Daws stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (2 G, 1 A), 2. Dawson Mercer (1 G, 1 A), 3. Fabian Zetterlund (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    D. Mercer1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    F. Zetterlund1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT063160701330
NJDNJD280511017430

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    D. Mercer (22), T. Meier (20)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:12
  2. NJD
    C. Brown(18)SHG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:51

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. Zub (25), N. Cousins (14)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:42
  2. OTT
    S. Pinto(23)PPG
    slapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:25
  3. OTT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:14

3rd period

  1. NJD
    D. Mercer(20)SHG
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-3
    12:28

Overtime

  1. NJD
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    3:18

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 13:11NJDLenni Hameenaho · High sticking double minordrawn by Shane Pinto4 min

2nd

  • 3:20OTTJordan Spence · Trippingdrawn by Johnathan Kovacevic2 min
  • 9:02NJDLenni Hameenaho · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

3rd

  • 4:30OTTNick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by Simon Nemec2 min
  • 9:51OTTNikolas Matinpalo · Cross checkingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 10:59NJDJack Hughes · Interferencedrawn by Michael Amadio2 min

OT

  • 1:48OTTDrake Batherson · Slashingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalOTT goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Nico Hischier, OT 3:18 — NJD 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.34D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.31N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.27N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.25D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.22N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.20D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.19N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.16J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.14J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.13J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.13C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.12C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.12J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.08D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.08D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06M. McLaughlin · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.01C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01B. Halonen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 4.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNJD
2.83 G
All situations
4 G4.1
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.91 G
Power play
1 G1.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT32%68%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 3.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNJD
30
Shots on goal
30
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
12
9
Blocked shots
7
11
Giveaways
23
8
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
10J. SpenceD000050.20012—26:36
2A. ZubD011+210.02000—26:28
12S. PintoC101+140.341006321:33
33N. MatinpaloD000-100.00112—20:35
6D. GilbertD000000.00200—17:46
71R. GreigC000-220.281103817:35
24D. CozensC000040.321007117:32
19D. BathersonR011-130.5601210016:53
20F. ZetterlundL101010.27310—16:44
22M. AmadioR101+110.07110—16:31
60L. ThomsonD000-210.03220—16:06
37W. FoegeleL000020.2811010016:01
89L. EllerC000-100.071005016:01
28C. GirouxR011-110.050006713:58
21N. CousinsC011+110.06102013:50
83S. HallidayC000-220.201005012:27
5C. CrottyD000+120.02000—11:32
23K. MacDermidL000-100.00000—05:46
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(O)30264.8674.09+0.0963:18

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).