New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe New Jersey Devils beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cody Glass's goal at 12:24 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were NJD 32, OTT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Arseny Gritsyuk (1 G, 2 A), 2. Connor Brown (3 A), 3. Drake Batherson (2 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Gritsyuk1 G, 2 A

- ★★C. Brown3 A

- ★★★D. Batherson2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-11:36
1-15:09
1-212:59
2-217:59
2nd period
3-24:21
3-310:35
3rd period
4-312:24
Penalties
1st
- 0:36
Stefan Noesen · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
- 1:46
Nikolas Matinpalo · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 11:31
Brenden Dillon · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
2nd
- 2:52
Angus Crookshank · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min
- 2:52
Tyler Kleven · Roughingdrawn by Angus Crookshank2 min
- 6:06
Artem Zub · High stickingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
- 9:32
Nico Hischier · Slashingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
3rd
- 6:46
Brady Tkachuk · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Cody Glass, 3rd 12:24 — 48% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.64 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.5
- 1.74 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.3
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 3 G1.2
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 3.45
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 3/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 15
- Hits
- 22
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 17
- Giveaways
- 16
- 5
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
NJD leads 2-1
4@
3this game
1@
4Final
3@
4OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















