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New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV MSG, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Cozens's goal at 0:37 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 58% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were NJD 27, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Linus Ullmark stopped 26 of 27 (.963). Three stars: 1. Linus Ullmark (26 saves, .963), 2. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 3. Tim Stützle (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    L. Ullmark26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD1110709127
OTTOTT19012313434

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(14)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:38
  2. NJD
    C. Glass (6), C. Brown (12)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:16

3rd period

  1. OTT
    D. Cozens(18)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:37
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:53
  3. OTT
    S. Pinto(15)EN
    wristxG 0.79Video
    1-4
    18:41

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·OTT 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:32OTTTyler Kleven · High stickingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
  • 10:01OTTClaude Giroux · Slashingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 12:24NJDBrett Pesce · Trippingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

2nd

  • 11:30OTTDylan Cozens · Elbowingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 14:04NJDJohnathan Kovacevic · Slashingdrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min

3rd

  • 0:18NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Hookingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 3:01OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Maxim Tsyplakov2 min
  • 8:41NJDBrenden Dillon · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 8:41OTTDylan Cozens · Slashingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 15:00OTTTyler Kleven · Interferencedrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNJD goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Cozens, 3rd 0:37 — OTT 58% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.79J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.27S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.23F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.21D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.16T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.15C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.15N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.13T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.08T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.08F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.07S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.02R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.00N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 3.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsOTT
1.51 G
All situations
3 G3.4
0.81 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.70 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD28%72%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsOTT
27
Shots on goal
34
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/5
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
22
Hits
24
9
Blocked shots
18
17
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. HamiltonD000070.22100—24:58
16C. BrownR011020.12000—22:37
13N. HischierC000-130.390005522:27
28T. MeierR101030.285005022:25
63J. BrattL000-120.15200—20:13
17S. NemecD000-100.02110—19:25
22B. PesceD000000.00112—18:29
71J. SiegenthalerD000000.00122—18:04
81A. GritsyukR000-110.09200—17:03
91D. MercerC000-110.030004316:00
8J. KovacevicD000020.06002—15:20
12C. GlassC011030.061107115:18
33E. DadonovL000020.04030—14:15
5B. DillonD000000.01202—13:20
29L. HameenahoR000-110.01000—12:56
47P. CotterL000000.001005008:40
42M. TsyplakovR000000.01400—07:56
14L. GlendeningC000000.0011010005:44
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)33303.9092.66-0.3459:17

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).