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Canadiens at Islanders
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
New York Islanders
1
FinalTV MSGSN, TSN2·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Suzuki's goal at 15:56 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals were close — MTL 3.7, NYI 3.9; shots on goal were MTL 22, NYI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jacob Fowler stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A), 2. Zachary Bolduc (1 G, 1 A), 3. Lane Hutson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    Z. Bolduc1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    L. Hutson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0103913422
NYINYI0906118133

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(29)
    J. Slafkovský (43), L. Hutson (65)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:56
  2. MTL
    I. Demidov(19)PPG
    N. Suzuki (72), L. Hutson (66)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:24
  3. MTL
    A. Newhook(13)
    Z. Bolduc (18), D. Reinbacher (1)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    16:51

3rd period

  1. NYI
    C. Cizikas(10)
    S. Mayfield (13), R. Pulock (24)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-1
    8:45
  2. MTL
    Z. Bolduc(12)
    A. Newhook (12), K. Dach (7)
    snapxG 0.27Video
    4-1
    19:45

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:07MTLJosh Anderson · High stickingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
  • 13:01NYIEmil Heineman · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min

2nd

  • 3:10MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 3:10NYIBrayden Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 15:56NYIMatthew Schaefer · High stickingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 18:44MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalMTL goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Suzuki, 2nd 15:56 — MTL 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.38A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.27B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.25S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.22C. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.17C. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.17B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.14B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.14M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.14B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.12C. Cizikas · Goal · xG 0.12T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.11A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.10B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.10M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.09C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.08C. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.06B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.06T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.05K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.04M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.04M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.03M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.03K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 3.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNYI
3.74 G
All situations
1 G3.9
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G3.3
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL37%63%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 3.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNYI
22
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
16
13
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000010.00020—26:16
21K. GuhleD000020.03110—26:05
48L. HutsonD022+200.00000—22:51
20J. SlafkovskýL011+110.24110—18:53
47J. StrubleD000010.15330—18:43
14N. SuzukiC112+140.751005018:29
24P. DanaultC000030.160003817:43
13C. CaufieldR000+110.16000—17:12
71J. EvansC000020.731107117:03
17J. AndersonR000000.13102—15:41
76Z. BolducR112+110.39510—14:15
15A. NewhookC112+210.170006313:16
72A. XhekajD000+100.01404—12:41
77K. DachC011010.11120011:59
93I. DemidovR101010.34000—11:45
64D. ReinbacherD011+120.08120—11:17
91O. KapanenC000-100.001002010:31
85A. TexierL000+110.25300—09:27
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Fowler(W)33321.9703.89+2.8959:53

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).