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Islanders at Canadiens
NHL

New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens

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New York Islanders
▸4
Montréal Canadiens
3
Final/OTTV MSGSN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Jean-Gabriel Pageau scoring at 1:46. The Islanders came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 1:46 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.4 to 3.0; shots on goal were NYI 26, MTL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Samuel Montembeault stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Schaefer (2 G), 2. Noah Dobson (2 G), 3. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Schaefer2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Dobson2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Pageau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI052121811426
MTLMTL110181601325

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Dobson(11)
    L. Hutson (49)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:11

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Dobson(12)PPG
    A. Texier (12), A. Newhook (7)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:06
  2. NYI
    M. Schaefer(17)PPG
    M. Barzal (35), C. Ritchie (9)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:56
  3. NYI
    M. Schaefer(18)
    T. DeAngelo (21), I. Sorokin (1)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:51

3rd period

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(33)PPG
    I. Demidov (35), J. Slafkovský (25)
    snapxG 0.57win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:11
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(12)
    B. Horvat (17), S. Holmstrom (17)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:19

Overtime

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(13)
    S. Holmstrom (18)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:46

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 8:19NYIScott Mayfield · Hookingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 16:30MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Interferencedrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
  • 16:38MTLMike Matheson · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

3rd

  • 0:18NYISimon Holmstrom · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 7:44NYIKyle MacLean · Trippingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYI goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, OT 1:46 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.57O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.20N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.16C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.15N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.14O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.12A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.12A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.11N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.11J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.10I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.07K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.05J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.05O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.05N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.05K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.04A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.02K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01
MTL3 G · 3.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMTL
3.44 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.43 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.91 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI57%43%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.35 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMTL
26
Shots on goal
25
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
22
20
Blocked shots
20
15
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD202+130.25020—25:56
14B. HorvatC011+161.043205723:50
13M. BarzalC011+100.001005022:19
3A. PelechD000000.02220—22:04
6R. PulockD000010.07030—21:43
77T. DeAngeloD011+130.14000—20:45
81O. PalatL000000.10150—16:25
10S. HolmstromR022+210.19012—16:02
44J. PageauC101+130.475005314:51
4C. SoucyD000000.05100—14:51
29J. DrouinL000020.180205514:27
64C. RitchieC011+100.050002214:26
27A. LeeL101+140.5510010014:15
24S. MayfieldD000000.00002—13:52
51E. HeinemanL000020.23310—13:43
53C. CizikasC000010.041103312:52
32K. MacLeanC000000.00202009:29
16M. GatcombC000000.01610008:59
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)25223.8802.97-0.0361:01

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).