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Islanders at Canadiens
NHL

New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸7
FinalTV MSGSN, SNE·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Islanders 7-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kaiden Guhle's goal at 3:17 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYI 22, MTL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 26 of 32 (.813), 1.8 goals below expected; Jacob Fowler stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (3 G, 2 A), 2. Juraj Slafkovský (2 G, 2 A), 3. Kaiden Guhle (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    K. Guhle1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI260818322
MTLMTL11727412736

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(26)PPG
    N. Suzuki (58), C. Caufield (30)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:10
  2. NYI
    E. Heineman(20)PPG
    A. Lee (21), T. DeAngelo (28)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:46
  3. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(17)
    A. Pelech (10)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:19

2nd period

  1. MTL
    A. Newhook(10)
    K. Guhle (7), O. Kapanen (14)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:49
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(41)PPG
    N. Suzuki (59), J. Slafkovský (33)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:08

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Schaefer(22)PPG
    M. Barzal (46), B. Horvat (21)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-3
    0:45
  2. MTL
    K. Guhle(2)
    A. Carrier (14), B. Gallagher (16)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-4
    3:17
  3. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(27)
    C. Caufield (31), N. Suzuki (60)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-5
    8:08
  4. MTL
    C. Caufield(42)
    J. Slafkovský (34), K. Guhle (8)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-6
    11:20
  5. MTL
    C. Caufield(43)PPG
    N. Suzuki (61)
    snapxG 0.16Video
    3-7
    14:59

Penalties

NYI 30 PIM·MTL 28 PIM

1st

  • 3:31NYICasey Cizikas · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 5:05MTLKaiden Guhle · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
  • 15:13NYITony DeAngelo · Slashingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min

2nd

  • 4:02MTLNoah Dobson · Hookingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 18:23NYITony DeAngelo · Interferencedrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 19:53MTLBrendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Emil Heineman2 min

3rd

  • 14:28NYIMathew Barzal · Roughingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
  • 14:28MTLKaiden Guhle · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 14:28NYIMathew Barzal · Roughingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
  • 14:28NYIMathew Barzal · Misconduct10 min
  • 14:28MTLKaiden Guhle · Misconduct10 min
  • 14:59NYIBrayden Schenn · Misconduct10 min
  • 14:59MTLNick Suzuki · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYI goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Kaiden Guhle, 3rd 3:17 — MTL 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.44Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.42I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.21N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.20N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.18C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.18A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.17N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.16C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.16C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.16N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.16J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.15Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.13B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.13J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.10I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.08I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.07A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.07I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.05K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.04J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.04A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.04K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.03A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.03A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.02K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Guhle · Goal · xG 0.02A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.01J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL7 G · 4.4 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMTL
2.13 G
All situations
7 G4.4
1.61 G
Even strength
4 G3.3
0.52 G
Power play
3 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI18%82%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 4.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMTL
22
Shots on goal
36
50%
Faceoffs
50%
2/3
Power play
3/4
30
Penalty minutes
28
34
Hits
25
11
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD101-230.12120—22:25
6R. PulockD000-110.05120—22:19
77T. DeAngeloD011-230.09304—21:01
3A. PelechD011-110.03020—20:29
14B. HorvatC011-220.141003720:21
13M. BarzalC011-240.312014018:24
51E. HeinemanL101030.19300—17:46
27A. LeeL011-100.13000—17:15
4C. SoucyD000000.00000—15:24
10B. SchennC000-100.0632104215:15
92S. HolmstromR101010.45000—15:09
24S. MayfieldD000000.00210—14:48
64C. RitchieC000-110.12000014:11
44J. PageauC000000.004008213:55
53C. CizikasC000010.032126313:20
11A. DuclairL000010.19210—12:37
81O. PalatL000-100.00400—11:42
16M. GatcombC000-110.14600010:46
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)32266.8134.19-1.8150:47
33D. Rittich431.7500.25-0.7508:11

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).