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Senators at Islanders
NHL

Ottawa Senators at New York Islanders

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Ottawa Senators
▸3
New York Islanders
0
FinalTV MSGSN, TVAS·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New York Islanders 3-0. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ridly Greig's goal at 13:06 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 45% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were OTT 16, NYI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 13 of 15 (.867). Three stars: 1. Ridly Greig (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Sanderson (1 G), 3. Michael Amadio (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    R. Greig1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    J. Sanderson1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Amadio1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT150427316
NYINYI080708023

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    R. Greig(13)SHG
    M. Amadio (20)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:06

3rd period

  1. OTT
    J. Sanderson(14)PPG
    D. Cozens (31), T. Stützle (49)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:36
  2. OTT
    M. Amadio(14)EN
    S. Pinto (22), R. Greig (22)
    wristxG 0.86win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:29

Penalties

OTT 15 PIM·NYI 15 PIM

1st

  • 0:01OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Anders Lee5 min
  • 0:01NYIAnders Lee · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 2:05NYIKyle MacLean · Roughingdrawn by Nikolas Matinpalo2 min
  • 11:37OTTDrake Batherson · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 17:02OTTDrake Batherson · Slashingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

2nd

  • 8:47NYITony DeAngelo · Interferencedrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 14:37OTTJordan Spence · Holdingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 19:40OTTJordan Spence · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

3rd

  • 3:16NYIEmil Heineman · High stickingdrawn by Lassi Thomson2 min
  • 7:17OTTDylan Cozens · High stickingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 11:04NYICarson Soucy · Trippingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 11:38NYIRyan Pulock · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalOTT goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Ridly Greig, 1st 13:06 — OTT 45% → 59%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.29C. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.25C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.22C. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.21S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.17C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.13C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.12C. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.11B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.10C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.09C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.06C. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.06B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.03M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.03K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.03M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI0 G · 2.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNYI
2.42 G
All situations
0 G2.7
0.50 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT27%73%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNYI
16
Shots on goal
23
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/5
Power play
0/5
15
Penalty minutes
15
27
Hits
26
15
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD101+220.40020—27:38
2A. ZubD000+200.02120—24:45
72T. ChabotD000020.03030—24:11
71R. GreigC112+110.091007122:36
18T. StützleC011010.081003321:00
12S. PintoC011+100.001005719:51
22M. AmadioR112+210.86130—18:52
10J. SpenceD000010.03214—18:13
19D. BathersonR000+110.11304—17:44
24D. CozensC011020.233125716:23
28C. GirouxR000010.040005913:58
21N. CousinsC000000.06010010:55
33N. MatinpaloD000000.00010—10:42
7B. TkachukL000010.11715—10:25
37W. FoegeleL000010.07400—10:10
20F. ZetterlundL000020.24300—09:32
60L. ThomsonD000000.00000—06:57
89L. EllerC000000.000005006:08
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)232301.0002.68+2.6860:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).