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Islanders at Senators
NHL

New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
2
Ottawa Senators
▸3
FinalTV MSGSN, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New York Islanders 3-2. The Islanders scored first; the Senators answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Tkachuk's goal at 19:47 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.3 to 1.5; shots on goal were NYI 19, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 24 of 27 (.889); James Reimer stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G), 2. Warren Foegele (1 G), 3. Thomas Chabot.

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    W. Foegele1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0711111219
OTTOTT0719211327

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Schaefer(21)
    R. Pulock (22), B. Horvat (20)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:45
  2. OTT
    S. Pinto(18)SHG
    T. Kleven (11), N. Matinpalo (5)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:27

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Schenn(14)
    S. Holmstrom (20), S. Mayfield (9)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:02
  2. OTT
    W. Foegele(10)
    F. Zetterlund (14), D. Gilbert (1)
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:12
  3. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(19)
    J. Spence (17), D. Batherson (33)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:47

Penalties

NYI 14 PIM·OTT 18 PIM

1st

  • 0:01OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Anders Lee5 min
  • 0:01NYIAnders Lee · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 5:54NYIBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Ridly Greig5 min
  • 5:54OTTRidly Greig · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 6:32OTTDylan Cozens · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min
  • 18:11NYICarson Soucy · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

2nd

  • 1:55OTTNick Cousins · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:50OTTArtem Zub · Cross checkingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 11:13NYIBo Horvat · Holdingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 17:06OTTLars Eller · Trippingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNYI goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Brady Tkachuk, 3rd 19:47 — OTT 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.38W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.33B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.23T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.22M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.18T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.18D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.14D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.10D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.09D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.09D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.08F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.05S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.03D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.02T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.00D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.00L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 3.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsOTT
1.52 G
All situations
3 G3.3
0.92 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI23%77%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.44 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsOTT
19
Shots on goal
27
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
18
19
Hits
29
10
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD101+230.06100—24:11
14B. HorvatC011+110.211025022:39
77T. DeAngeloD000-220.02100—22:30
13M. BarzalC000+100.05000021:48
3A. PelechD000-100.03110—21:18
51E. HeinemanL000020.14400—19:48
92S. HolmstromR011-220.16000—18:17
6R. PulockD011+200.01000—17:57
27A. LeeL000-210.042055016:01
44J. PageauC000-100.040103615:53
64C. RitchieC000000.00000014:03
4C. SoucyD000-100.02112—13:59
24S. MayfieldD011-110.02200—13:33
53C. CizikasC000010.242007512:46
10B. SchennC101030.350053611:59
11A. DuclairL000020.01130—09:51
32K. MacLeanC000010.03130009:47
81O. PalatL000-100.02210—09:46
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)27243.8893.06+0.0659:54

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).