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San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV Victory+, NBCSCA·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the San Jose Sharks 6-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Carlson's goal at 6:20 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.0 to 1.1; shots on goal were SJS 19, ANA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 3.0 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 18 of 19 (.947). Three stars: 1. John Carlson (3 G), 2. Leo Carlsson (1 G), 3. Beckett Sennecke (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Carlson3 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    B. Sennecke2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0504110119
ANAANA21019311630

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:59
  2. ANA
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:20

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.43win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    5:15

3rd period

  1. ANA
    J. Carlson(13)PPG
    slapxG 0.07Video
    0-4
    10:31
  2. SJS
    1-4
    12:40
  3. ANA
    J. Carlson(14)PPG
    slapxG 0.08Video
    1-5
    14:03
  4. ANA
    backhandxG 0.10Video
    1-6
    17:32

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

3rd

  • 9:40SJSCollin Graf · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
  • 13:42SJSSam Dickinson · Holdingdrawn by Tim Washe2 min
  • 13:48SJSVincent Desharnais · High stickingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 14:59SJSKiefer Sherwood · Roughingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 14:59ANABeckett Sennecke · Roughingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSJS goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: John Carlson, 1st 6:20 — ANA 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.43L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.20C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.17L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.17L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.16B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.16C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.13T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.13T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.12T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.09M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.08J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.07C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.07B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.05A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.04M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.04J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.03L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.03M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.01R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.01
ANA6 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsANA
1.11 G
All situations
6 G3.0
1.11 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS17%83%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.07 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsANA
19
Shots on goal
30
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/0
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
2
33
Hits
19
9
Blocked shots
22
20
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000-110.02120—23:33
9D. OrlovD000+140.06010—22:24
71M. CelebriniC000020.100203822:14
5V. DesharnaisD000010.08112—20:42
85S. MukhamadullinD101+120.06120—20:32
51C. GrafR000-100.00302—19:29
44K. SherwoodL000-110.111202—18:39
4N. LeddyD000-300.00000—17:51
2W. SmithC000000.06100016:58
72W. EklundL000010.05200—16:23
21A. WennbergC000-120.210005715:40
6S. DickinsonD000-410.10112—15:11
77M. MisaC000-100.000002012:44
73T. ToffoliC011-120.05000012:11
10T. DellandreaC000-100.004005012:07
84P. RegendaL000-200.13400—11:32
23B. GoodrowC000020.01100010:17
63Z. OstapchukC000-100.022003808:21
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30Y. Askarov(L)30246.8002.98-3.0260:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).