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San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-4. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Igor Chernyshov's goal at 6:30 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 5.1 to 1.6; shots on goal were SJS 13, ANA 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 93% of the time. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 5 of 9 (.556), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Macklin Celebrini (1 G, 2 A), 2. Troy Terry (2 G, 1 A), 3. Alexander Wennberg (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Terry2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    A. Wennberg2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS272313513
ANAANA114114214442

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:43
  2. ANA
    backhandxG 0.60win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:02
  3. SJS
    snapxG 0.25win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:12

2nd period

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:30
  2. SJS
    snapxG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-1
    12:17
  3. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:26

3rd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:07
  2. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    5-3
    13:47
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.37win prob +8 ptsVideo
    5-4
    15:58

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:33ANADrew Helleson · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

2nd

  • 9:13SJSShakir Mukhamadullin · Trippingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min

3rd

  • 7:41SJSMario Ferraro · Hookingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 10:04ANATroy Terry · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 16:51SJSJohn Klingberg · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSJS goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Igor Chernyshov, 2nd 6:30 — SJS 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.60M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.41T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.37C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.17N. Nesterenko · Missed · xG 0.16R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.15A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.14M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.14P. Mintyukov · Goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.12R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.12N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.12B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.11M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.11M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.11P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.10C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.10L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.09L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.09M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.08M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.07N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.07J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.07L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.06C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.05B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.05A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.04O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.00R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 5.1 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsANA
1.65 G
All situations
4 G5.1
1.45 G
Even strength
4 G4.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS7%93%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 5.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsANA
13
Shots on goal
42
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
11
18
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD101020.11332—23:34
9D. OrlovD000010.02120—21:32
51C. GrafR000-110.19200—21:15
21A. WennbergC022+100.000104519:38
3J. KlingbergD000+110.04022—19:16
22V. IorioD011+100.00030—19:07
72W. EklundL101-110.17000—18:44
85S. MukhamadullinD000-100.02002—18:28
10T. DellandreaC000-110.152304017:10
71M. CelebriniC123010.310105516:14
92I. ChernyshovL101-120.35000—15:53
6S. DickinsonD011+110.00100—15:41
73T. ToffoliC011+100.05210015:10
23B. GoodrowC011+100.00220012:22
53J. SkinnerL000+100.03010—11:49
81A. GaudetteR011+100.0000010010:45
75R. ReavesR000+100.00200—08:55
63Z. OstapchukC101+120.212004008:27
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30Y. Askarov(W)42384.9055.11+1.1160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).