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Ducks at Sharks
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸7
San Jose Sharks
6
Final/OTTV Victory+, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the San Jose Sharks 7-6 in overtime, Leo Carlsson scoring at 0:46. The Ducks came back from two goals down. The Sharks led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leo Carlsson's goal at 0:46 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were ANA 44, SJS 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 17 of 23 (.739), 3.7 goals below expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 37 of 44 (.841), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Macklin Celebrini (3 A), 2. Will Smith (3 A), 3. Leo Carlsson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini3 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    W. Smith3 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA21421521411744
SJSSJS273101600623

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    T. Toffoli(1)
    W. Smith (1), M. Celebrini (1)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:40
  2. SJS
    R. Reaves(1)
    A. Gaudette (1), N. Leddy (1)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:12
  3. ANA
    C. Gauthier(1)
    M. McTavish (2), R. Gudas (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:53
  4. ANA
    B. Sennecke(2)PPG
    M. McTavish (3), O. Zellweger (1)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:14

2nd period

  1. SJS
    M. Ferraro(1)
    W. Smith (2), M. Celebrini (2)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:21
  2. ANA
    A. Killorn(1)
    M. Granlund (1)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:19
  3. SJS
    J. Klingberg(1)PPG
    M. Celebrini (3), W. Smith (3)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-4
    10:34
  4. SJS
    A. Gaudette(1)PPG
    A. Wennberg (1), D. Orlov (2)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-5
    17:14
  5. ANA
    C. Kreider(1)PPG
    L. Carlsson (1), T. Terry (1)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-5
    19:29

3rd period

  1. SJS
    J. Skinner(2)
    T. Dellandrea (2), D. Orlov (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-6
    5:34
  2. ANA
    C. Gauthier(2)
    M. McTavish (4), B. Sennecke (1)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    5-6
    10:29
  3. ANA
    C. Kreider(2)
    L. Carlsson (2), T. Terry (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +46 ptsVideo
    6-6
    19:09

Overtime

  1. ANA
    L. Carlsson(1)
    M. Granlund (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +51 ptsVideo
    7-6
    0:46

Penalties

ANA 13 PIM·SJS 13 PIM

1st

  • 13:28SJSDmitry Orlov · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 15:16SJSRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Ross Johnston5 min
  • 15:16ANARoss Johnston · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 16:13SJSJohn Klingberg · Holdingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

2nd

  • 2:36SJSAdam Gaudette · Cross checkingdrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min
  • 8:54ANAOlen Zellweger · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 9:58ANAFrank Vatrano · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:53ANARyan Poehling · Delaying game face off violation2 min
  • 16:35ANAMason McTavish · High stickingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 18:07SJSTimothy Liljegren · Interferencedrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalANA goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Leo Carlsson, OT 0:46 — ANA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Reaves · Goal · xG 0.28M. Ferraro · Goal · xG 0.26T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.21P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.18W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.11J. Klingberg · Goal · xG 0.11A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.05W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.05C. Graf · Missed · xG 0.05J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.02M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS6 G · 2.3 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSJS
4.67 G
All situations
6 G2.3
3.15 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
1.52 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA82%18%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.48 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSJS
44
Shots on goal
23
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/4
Power play
2/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
24
Hits
20
12
Blocked shots
18
15
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD000+110.07110—27:32
23M. McTavishC033050.492024420:50
64M. GranlundC022+200.000103520:41
7R. GudasD011-220.01230—19:59
51O. ZellwegerD011+110.10112—19:56
91L. CarlssonC123+230.170006719:42
61C. GauthierL202090.46210—19:28
45B. SenneckeR112-150.98200—19:14
17A. KillornL101070.74300—18:24
65J. TroubaD000+310.08320—18:15
19T. TerryR022+230.3900010017:28
20C. KreiderL202+150.99200—17:08
14D. HellesonD000-100.00020—15:14
77F. VatranoR000010.01312—12:02
98P. MintyukovD000-110.02000—11:49
25R. PoehlingC000-100.000022007:41
13N. NesterenkoC000-100.12200005:57
44R. JohnstonL000-100.00105—05:36
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(W)23176.7392.31-3.6959:49

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).