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Predators at Mammoth
NHL

Nashville Predators at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Utah Mammoth
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSO, Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Nashville Predators 4-1. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kailer Yamamoto's goal at 14:26 of the first period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals were close — NSH 3.2, UTA 3.0; shots on goal were NSH 30, UTA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.0 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (3 A), 2. Karel Vejmelka (29 saves, .967), 3. Nick Schmaltz (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    C. Keller3 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    K. Vejmelka29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH07012111130
UTAUTA1916212427

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    K. Yamamoto(12)
    D. Guenther (32), L. Cooley (17)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:26

2nd period

  1. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(31)PPG
    C. Keller (55), L. Cooley (18)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:35

3rd period

  1. UTA
    L. Crouse(22)
    C. Keller (56), M. Sergachev (47)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    3:03
  2. UTA
    D. Guenther(39)
    C. Keller (57), N. Schmaltz (41)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    6:05
  3. NSH
    E. Haula(14)PPG
    Z. L'Heureux (1), B. Skjei (23)
    backhandxG 0.34Video
    1-4
    10:22

Penalties

NSH 16 PIM·UTA 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:58NSHBrady Skjei · Slashingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
  • 8:37UTAClayton Keller · Trippingdrawn by Adam Wilsby2 min

2nd

  • 5:16NSHJustin Barron · Trippingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min

3rd

  • 8:29UTAMikhail Sergachev · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Wood2 min
  • 11:21NSHTyson Jost · Holdingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 18:24NSHErik Haula · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalNSH goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Kailer Yamamoto, 1st 14:26 — UTA 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.36N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.25M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.23C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.19C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.18M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.17D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.15M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.14L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.13L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.11B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.08D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.07L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.06S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.06D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.06L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.06M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.05J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.04K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.04L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.04L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.03D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.02S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.00S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.00K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.00I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.00
UTA4 G · 3.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsUTA
3.21 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.90 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
1.31 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH53%47%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsUTA
30
Shots on goal
27
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/2
Power play
1/3
16
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
21
11
Blocked shots
12
18
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD011-100.04012—22:47
48N. PerbixD000-110.02020—21:44
83A. WilsbyD000-120.08120—20:57
90R. O'ReillyC000-220.260006019:53
20J. BarronD000-120.03012—19:43
85R. UfkoD000-110.10010—18:02
9F. ForsbergL000000.20000—18:01
91S. StamkosC000-230.571007516:22
40F. SvechkovC000020.162004215:39
81J. MarchessaultR000020.17000—15:38
68Z. L'HeureuxL011050.56200—15:19
77L. EvangelistaR000-110.03100—15:05
56E. HaulaL101040.5140108814:55
17T. JostC000-230.17112014:44
82J. OesterleD000-100.03120—14:05
25J. KemellR000010.18200—13:23
71M. WoodR000-110.100102011:19
49R. SchaeferL000-100.00300—08:23
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)27234.8523.01-0.9959:42

Season series

UTA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).