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Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Blues scored first; the Jets answered. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Morrissey's goal at 14:11 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were WPG 34, STL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Jordan Binnington stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Josh Morrissey (1 G), 2. Dylan Holloway (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jonathan Toews (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    D. Holloway1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Toews1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11621107334
STLSTL1120713222

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:56
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:24

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.38win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:11
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:51

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:00

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:27WPGHaydn Fleury · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Tucker2 min
  • 14:29STLJordan Kyrou · Hookingdrawn by Brad Lambert2 min

2nd

  • 1:55WPGserved by J. Toews · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:01WPGDylan DeMelo · High stickingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

3rd

  • 1:33WPGNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min
  • 17:26WPGJosh Morrissey · High stickingdrawn by Jimmy Snuggerud2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Morrissey, 2nd 14:11 — WPG 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Stenberg · On goal · xG 0.18J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.17J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.17J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.15J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.14J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.11C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.11D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.10D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.09D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.08O. Stenberg · On goal · xG 0.08D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.07N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.06J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.06T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.06C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.06N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05L. Mailloux · Missed · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.05J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.05J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.05D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.04L. Mailloux · Missed · xG 0.04P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.03T. Lindstein · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lindstein · Missed · xG 0.01T. Lindstein · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.4 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
2.83 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG58%42%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
34
Shots on goal
22
65%
Faceoffs
35%
0/1
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
14
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
54D. SambergD000-100.00120—26:52
4N. PionkD000050.05322—24:04
2D. DeMeloD000010.05012—23:10
44J. MorrisseyD101+240.65112—22:16
81K. ConnorL000+160.44000—20:56
55M. ScheifeleC022+110.090106320:21
9A. IafalloL101030.34010—19:28
17A. LowryC000010.212105816:47
13G. VilardiC011+210.21000016:31
91C. PerfettiC011+110.12000013:47
7V. NamestnikovC000030.051007512:27
45C. KoepkeL000010.11310—11:46
24H. FleuryD011+110.01012—11:37
62N. NiederreiterR000000.00000—11:35
78J. BrysonD011+210.01100—11:14
93B. LambertC000020.1722010010:31
19J. ToewsC101+120.210006710:20
27I. RosenR000010.10000—07:49
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)22202.9092.45+0.4560:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).