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Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Winnipeg Jets 1-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Faulk's goal at 13:17 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were WPG 24, STL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Joel Hofer stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Hofer (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Justin Faulk (1 G), 3. Pius Suter.

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Hofer24 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Faulk1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    P. Suter

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG060909024
STLSTL01111203126

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +20 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:17

Penalties

WPG 20 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:09WPGLogan Stanley · Holdingdrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min
  • 18:45STLJustin Faulk · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

2nd

  • 1:19STLCam Fowler · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 18:00WPGJonathan Toews · Interferencedrawn by Philip Broberg2 min

3rd

  • 17:06WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 19:18WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min
  • 19:18WPGJosh Morrissey · Roughingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min
  • 19:18STLPius Suter · Roughingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 19:18WPGLogan Stanley · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Justin Faulk, 2nd 13:17 — STL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.30P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.29R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.18J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.17O. Stenberg · Missed · xG 0.17L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.16P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.14P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.13B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.11D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.09C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.09P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.09B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.09J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.09O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.08O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.08D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.08J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.07C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.07R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.07P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.07P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.07P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.07P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.06D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.05J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.03P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.01P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01
STL1 G · 3.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
1.90 G
All situations
1 G3.4
1.50 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG26%74%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.87 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
24
Shots on goal
26
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/2
Power play
0/4
20
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
14
9
Blocked shots
14
19
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
81K. ConnorL000-130.24110—24:27
55M. ScheifeleC000-100.091005022:53
4N. PionkD000040.12010—22:45
44J. MorrisseyD000-110.05022—22:37
54D. SambergD000020.03120—21:41
2D. DeMeloD000-100.00212—18:54
13G. VilardiC000-120.320003317:01
64L. StanleyD000010.191014—16:57
9A. IafalloL000010.00310—16:11
14G. NyquistR000000.00100—13:24
17A. LowryC000010.042006312:43
5L. SchennD000030.05100—12:37
91C. PerfettiC000020.50100012:27
36M. BarronC000010.023106712:23
7V. NamestnikovC000010.080006712:07
62N. NiederreiterR000010.12000—11:59
19J. ToewsC000010.011028211:26
45C. KoepkeL000000.01300—11:03
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)26251.9623.40+2.4059:43

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).