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Blues at Jets
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, FDSNMW·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dalibor Dvorsky's goal at 5:17 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 6% to 21%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were STL 31, WPG 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 1.1 goals below expected; Eric Comrie stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Haydn Fleury (1 G, 1 A), 2. Morgan Barron (2 A), 3. Eric Comrie (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    H. Fleury1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Barron2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    E. Comrie29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0906216231
WPGWPG260416316

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    H. Fleury(1)
    B. Lambert (1), M. Barron (11)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:31
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(31)
    J. Morrissey (34)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:51

3rd period

  1. STL
    D. Dvorsky(10)
    J. Berggren (11), P. Suter (12)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:17
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(31)
    M. Barron (12), H. Fleury (1)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:53
  3. STL
    D. Holloway(14)
    L. Mailloux (3), J. Snuggerud (20)
    wristxG 0.68win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:09

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 3:12STLJustin Holl · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 17:20STLOskar Sundqvist · Cross checkingdrawn by Jacob Bryson2 min

2nd

  • 13:31WPGElias Salomonsson · Holding the stickdrawn by Jack Finley2 min
  • 18:17STLPius Suter · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSTL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Dalibor Dvorsky, 3rd 5:17 — STL 6% → 21%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.52C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.35K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.20M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.13C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.10C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.09H. Fleury · Goal · xG 0.08J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.05E. Salomonsson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.03E. Salomonsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bryson · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG3 G · 2.5 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWPG
3.22 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.12 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL73%27%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWPG
31
Shots on goal
16
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
13
Hits
26
6
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23L. MaillouxD011020.08010—24:58
6P. BrobergD000000.01000—24:42
55C. ParaykoD000-140.17210—22:19
18R. ThomasC000+100.00110022:18
81D. HollowayL101+161.382002021:13
21J. SnuggerudR011+140.351005019:53
17C. FowlerD000030.07000—19:18
89P. BuchnevichL000-310.150002516:30
22P. SuterC011+130.230022515:27
41T. LindsteinD000-120.04110—15:12
25J. KyrouR000-310.36000—14:13
63J. NeighboursL000-210.14300—13:24
4J. HollD000010.04002—12:42
54D. DvorskyR101+120.150005412:16
70O. SundqvistC000000.00202011:13
37J. FinleyC000000.000003811:03
13A. ToropchenkoR000000.00020—10:47
29J. BerggrenR011+110.01100—10:19
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)16133.8131.92-1.0856:13

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).