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Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FDSNDET, NBCSP+·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Moritz Seider's goal at 0:32 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 54% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were PHI 27, DET 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 12 of 14 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 13 of 15 (.867). Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (3 G, 1 A), 2. Moritz Seider (1 G, 4 A), 3. Patrick Kane (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Seider1 G, 4 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    P. Kane1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI11116110327
DETDET1431226622

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:28
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:24

2nd period

  1. DET
    M. Seider(10)PPG
    P. Kane (39), D. Larkin (31)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:32
  2. DET
    D. Larkin(32)PPG
    P. Kane (40), M. Seider (48)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:50
  3. DET
    D. Larkin(33)SHG
    wristxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-4
    4:56
  4. PHI
    wristxG 0.34win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    9:25

3rd period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.17win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-5
    7:01
  2. DET
    snapxG 0.12Video
    2-6
    11:39
  3. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.10Video
    3-6
    18:09

Penalties

PHI 12 PIM·DET 16 PIM

1st

  • 2:07PHIMatvei Michkov · Roughingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 2:45DETJustin Faulk · Interferencedrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 9:57PHITyson Foerster · Holding the stickdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 18:26DETBen Chiarot · Holdingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 20:00PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 20:00DETLucas Raymond · Roughingdrawn by Porter Martone2 min
  • 20:00PHIPorter Martone · Cross checkingdrawn by Jacob Bernard-Docker2 min

2nd

  • 0:15PHIOwen Tippett · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by John Gibson2 min
  • 2:43DETMoritz Seider · Holdingdrawn by Porter Martone2 min
  • 4:15DETJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 8:58DETJustin Faulk · Hookingdrawn by Noah Cates2 min

3rd

  • 10:20DETAlbert Johansson · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 10:20PHITrevor Zegras · Elbowingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min
  • 13:15DETSimon Edvinsson · High stickingdrawn by Emil Andrae2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPHI goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Moritz Seider, 2nd 0:32 — DET 54% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.20D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.18P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.17D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.17P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.12L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.10L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.10L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.10M. Seider · Goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.05A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.01L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00
DET6 G · 1.8 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsDET
2.43 G
All situations
6 G1.8
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
1.01 G
Power play
3 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI61%39%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsDET
27
Shots on goal
22
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/6
Power play
3/4
12
Penalty minutes
16
30
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9J. DrysdaleD011040.17000—23:04
8C. YorkD000000.00040—21:45
94P. MartoneR112030.62402—19:46
46T. ZegrasC011-210.113122219:17
6T. SanheimD000-130.23010—18:58
55R. RistolainenD000-110.04002—18:51
22C. DvorakC101020.160006718:39
71T. FoersterR000-240.34022—18:08
74O. TippettR000-100.01102—16:47
27N. CatesL000020.164105716:06
24N. SeelerD000+100.00310—15:20
11T. KonecnyR011030.22500—14:59
39M. MichkovR000000.00002—13:53
14S. CouturierC011+100.065104013:05
36E. AndraeD000+100.00220—12:57
20A. BumpL000-110.16300—11:27
41L. GlendeningC101+120.110004010:25
52D. BarkeyC011010.03000010:05
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson14122.8570.83-1.1735:04
80D. Vladar(L)844.5000.97-3.0324:56

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).