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Flyers at Red Wings
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸5
Detroit Red Wings
3
FinalTV ABC·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Owen Tippett's goal at 12:22 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.9 to 2.9; shots on goal were PHI 26, DET 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 32 of 35 (.914); John Gibson stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Owen Tippett (3 G, 1 A), 2. Noah Cates (1 G), 3. Moritz Seider (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    O. Tippett3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    N. Cates1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    M. Seider2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI182929526
DETDET07011317335

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(25)
    T. Zegras (36)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:07

2nd period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(26)
    D. Barkey (9), J. Drysdale (21)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:22
  2. PHI
    N. Cates(17)PPG
    M. Michkov (23), T. Konecny (36)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-0
    16:08

3rd period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(27)PPG
    J. Drysdale (22), T. Konecny (37)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-0
    7:19
  2. DET
    M. Appleton(6)
    J. Faulk (23)
    snapxG 0.14Video
    4-1
    13:43
  3. DET
    A. DeBrincat(37)
    P. Kane (32), M. Seider (43)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:10
  4. DET
    L. Raymond(24)
    M. Seider (44), P. Kane (33)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-3
    16:14
  5. PHI
    S. Couturier(10)EN
    O. Tippett (21)
    wristxG 0.55win prob +7 ptsVideo
    5-3
    17:56

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·DET 16 PIM

2nd

  • 7:12PHIJamie Drysdale · Interferencedrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 15:48DETDylan Larkin · High stickingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 18:19PHIEmil Andrae · Trippingdrawn by Emmitt Finnie2 min

3rd

  • 6:05DETMason Appleton · Roughingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 8:21PHIMatvei Michkov · Roughingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min
  • 8:21DETMarco Kasper · Roughingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 11:49DETDavid Perron · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPHI goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Owen Tippett, 2nd 12:22 — PHI 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.24P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.18P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.18A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.17D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.17S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.17D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.15M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.14A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.13A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.13D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.10S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.09E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.09L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07D. Shine · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06D. Shine · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.02A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mazur · On goal · xG 0.02S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.01L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.00M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.00A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 2.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsDET
3.94 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
1.12 G
Power play
0 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI48%52%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsDET
26
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
16
25
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000010.05030—26:00
55R. RistolainenD000+110.02110—23:27
8C. YorkD000-110.00010—21:59
9J. DrysdaleD022020.09002—19:37
46T. ZegrasC011+100.000103318:12
11T. KonecnyR022-120.6422010017:00
22C. DvorakC000-120.041106716:46
74O. TippettR314+270.65100—16:38
14S. CouturierC101+110.552006515:35
52D. BarkeyC011+100.19100014:44
24N. SeelerD000000.01210—14:43
36E. AndraeD000000.00222—14:14
41L. GlendeningC000040.404103813:43
20A. BumpL000-100.15100—13:08
27N. CatesL101030.880005512:59
39M. MichkovR011-110.13102—12:58
91C. GrundstromR000-110.04200—11:22
19G. HathawayR000000.04510—11:09
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)35323.9142.89-0.1159:46

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).