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Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV FDSNDETX, NBCSP·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lucas Raymond's goal at 18:29 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were DET 19, PHI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. John Gibson stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (2 G), 2. Porter Martone (1 A), 3. Patrick Kane (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    P. Martone1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    P. Kane1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET171824419
PHIPHI07112115234

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    P. Kane (35), M. Seider (45)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    18:49

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:31
  2. DET
    snapxG 0.08win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:29

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. Copp (31)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    9:37
  2. PHI
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:29
  3. DET
    A. Copp (32), P. Kane (36)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    10:44

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:23PHIPorter Martone · Cross checkingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 18:32PHISean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

3rd

  • 1:48DETLucas Raymond · Hookingdrawn by Cam York2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalDET goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Lucas Raymond, 2nd 18:29 — DET 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.32T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.25S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.24T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.21P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.13L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.12L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.12T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.12L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.11T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.10P. Martone · Missed · xG 0.10T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.10T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.09P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.09P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.09C. York · Missed · xG 0.08P. Martone · Missed · xG 0.07O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.06O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.06C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.06P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.05E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.04M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.04P. Martone · Missed · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.04P. Martone · Missed · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04C. York · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.03P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.03P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.03P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.02T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.02T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.02M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.02T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.01P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01P. Martone · On goal · xG 0.00M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 3.5 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPHI
1.94 G
All situations
2 G3.5
1.33 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET24%76%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPHI
19
Shots on goal
34
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
31
16
Blocked shots
9
12
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011+310.05330—28:47
77S. EdvinssonD011+200.00030—23:35
8B. ChiarotD000-100.01510—20:44
23L. RaymondL101030.11002—20:14
71D. LarkinC000040.461005619:40
37J. CompherL011030.250204719:06
93A. DeBrincatR202+140.3702010018:20
20A. JohanssonD000000.00000—17:45
58E. FinnieC000+100.03210017:34
88P. KaneR123+110.14100—17:27
22M. AppletonC000000.00200017:13
18A. CoppC022+100.150203316:59
57D. PerronL000-110.27300—16:22
25J. Bernard-DockerD000-110.01010—16:08
72J. FaulkD000-100.00110—10:49
65D. ShineR000000.00100—06:00
92M. KasperC000010.0910010005:59
21J. van RiemsdykL000000.00100—05:18
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)34322.9413.52+1.5260:00

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).