Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lucas Raymond's goal at 18:29 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were DET 19, PHI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. John Gibson stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (2 G), 2. Porter Martone (1 A), 3. Patrick Kane (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★A. DeBrincat2 G

- ★★P. Martone1 A

- ★★★P. Kane1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-018:49
2nd period
1-10:31
2-118:29
3rd period
3-19:37
3-210:29
4-210:44
Penalties
1st
- 6:23
Porter Martone · Cross checkingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
- 18:32
Sean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
3rd
- 1:48
Lucas Raymond · Hookingdrawn by Cam York2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Lucas Raymond, 2nd 18:29 — 47% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.94 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.5
- 1.33 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.9
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 3.42
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 19
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 21
- Hits
- 31
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 12
- Giveaways
- 13
- 6
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















