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Panthers at Senators
NHL

Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Ottawa Senators
▸5
FinalTV SCRIPPS, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Florida Panthers 5-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Fabian Zetterlund's goal at 17:00 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were FLA 23, OTT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.1 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 22 of 23 (.957). Three stars: 1. Fabian Zetterlund (2 G), 2. Thomas Chabot, 3. Jake Sanderson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    F. Zetterlund2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Sanderson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0508110123
OTTOTT2805313526

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(32)PPG
    J. Sanderson (39), B. Tkachuk (37)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:49
  2. OTT
    F. Zetterlund(15)
    L. Eller (10), J. Spence (23)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:00

3rd period

  1. OTT
    A. Zub(5)
    J. Sanderson (40), D. Cozens (30)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    3:03
  2. FLA
    J. Boqvist(4)
    A. Greer (14), E. Luostarinen (19)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:17
  3. OTT
    C. Giroux(14)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.55win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:43
  4. OTT
    F. Zetterlund(16)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11Video
    1-5
    17:02

Penalties

FLA 2 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:53FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
  • 19:18OTTBrady Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalFLA goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Fabian Zetterlund, 1st 17:00 — OTT 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.55R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.29T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.22T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.19M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.18C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.16A. Zub · Goal · xG 0.14R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.14J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.13D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.12T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.12M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.12F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.11W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.10D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.08R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.07S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.06T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.06R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.03L. Thomson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.02S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.02N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01
OTT5 G · 3.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsOTT
1.51 G
All situations
4 G3.8
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA24%76%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.47 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsOTT
23
Shots on goal
26
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
21
13
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000-310.13042—27:05
6D. SebrangoD000030.03310—20:24
22T. BjornfotD000000.00310—19:54
4M. AlscherD000020.09110—19:28
27E. LuostarinenC011030.112004718:53
11M. SamoskevichR000-220.090004018:19
23C. VerhaegheC000-210.011001118:15
9S. BennettC000-230.141106717:44
20M. BenningD000-200.00000—17:22
70J. BoqvistC101+130.31100015:59
10A. GreerL011+110.1722010015:54
79C. SchwindtR000-110.014006314:09
92T. NosekL000-110.003101713:51
54L. JanssonD000-110.04010—13:37
18N. GregorL000-100.14110—12:32
24V. HinostrozaC000-100.00200012:20
71L. KuninC000-110.172006012:10
25N. FooteL000-100.02200—11:56
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)25214.8402.92-1.0859:12

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).