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Senators at Panthers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
3
Florida Panthers
▸6
FinalTV SCRIPPS, TSN5·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 6-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mackie Samoskevich's goal at 1:06 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 67% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.2 to 2.7; shots on goal were OTT 26, FLA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. James Reimer stopped 12 of 13 (.923), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 3 A), 2. Carter Verhaeghe (2 G, 1 A), 3. Seth Jones (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Jones3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0627113326
FLAFLA5181704629

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    N. Gregor(3)
    S. Jones (21), T. Nosek (2)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:08
  2. FLA
    M. Samoskevich(8)PPG
    S. Jones (22), M. Tkachuk (16)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:06
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(22)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (17), S. Jones (23)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    9:09
  4. FLA
    A. Greer(14)
    E. Luostarinen (18), D. Sebrango (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-4
    14:02
  5. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(23)
    S. Bennett (30), M. Tkachuk (18)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-5
    14:36

2nd period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(30)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    1:40
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(13)
    S. Bennett (31), C. Verhaeghe (30)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-6
    12:41
  3. OTT
    J. Spence(6)
    T. Stützle (44), M. Amadio (19)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-6
    15:14

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Amadio(13)
    R. Greig (18), L. Thomson (1)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    4:29

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·FLA 13 PIM

1st

  • 0:15OTTShane Pinto · High stickingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 6:05OTTArtem Zub · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 7:13OTTTyler Kleven · High stickingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min

2nd

  • 6:04FLASam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 8:55FLADmitry Kulikov · Hookingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 19:55FLAVinnie Hinostroza · Slashingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

3rd

  • 11:26FLANoah Gregor · Match penaltydrawn by Carter Yakemchuk5 min
  • 15:22FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalOTT goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Mackie Samoskevich, 1st 1:06 — FLA 67% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.41M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.19M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.18S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.17A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.17C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.17N. Gregor · Goal · xG 0.16M. Samoskevich · Goal · xG 0.15A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.14S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.13N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.12A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.10N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.10E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08A. Greer · Goal · xG 0.07A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Reinhardt · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sebrango · Missed · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.00M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.00E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA6 G · 4.2 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsFLA
2.73 G
All situations
6 G4.2
1.33 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
1.40 G
Power play
2 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT32%68%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 3.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsFLA
26
Shots on goal
29
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/5
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
13
17
Hits
18
6
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
10J. SpenceD101-240.11100—24:05
43T. KlevenD000+130.02202—22:39
18T. StützleC011+120.182002021:05
12S. PintoC000-100.001026720:48
24D. CozensC000-110.404105020:21
7B. TkachukL000-140.781106020:18
19D. BathersonR101-110.19000—18:16
71R. GreigC011+110.100106016:53
33N. MatinpaloD000-100.02100—16:36
28C. GirouxR000-100.000006216:17
2A. ZubD000-110.03302—15:43
22M. AmadioR112+120.25000—14:20
60L. ThomsonD011+210.06110—13:49
58C. YakemchukD000-110.02010—13:42
20F. ZetterlundL000010.29000—12:11
21N. CousinsC000-110.01100011:09
37W. FoegeleL000020.19000—10:20
89L. EllerC000010.060104410:08
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer13121.9231.76+0.7641:57
35L. Ullmark(L)16115.6882.06-2.9414:36

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).