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Panthers at Senators
NHL

Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸3
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV NHLN, SCRIPPS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The Senators scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carter Verhaeghe's goal at 13:13 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.1 to 1.6; shots on goal were FLA 21, OTT 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Leevi Meriläinen stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Gustav Forsling (1 G, 1 A), 2. Aaron Ekblad (2 A), 3. Claude Giroux (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    G. Forsling1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Giroux2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA181815321
OTTOTT150717219

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    F. Zetterlund(11)
    S. Pinto (10), C. Giroux (22)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:03
  2. FLA
    E. Rodrigues(9)PPG
    A. Ekblad (14)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:34

2nd period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(13)PPG
    G. Forsling (14), A. Lundell (19)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:13

3rd period

  1. FLA
    G. Forsling(2)
    A. Ekblad (15), C. Verhaeghe (18)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:48
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(17)
    C. Giroux (23), J. Sanderson (25)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:18

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:02FLAEvan Rodrigues · High stickingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 9:35OTTArtem Zub · High stickingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 17:11OTTArtem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 18:25OTTShane Pinto · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 18:25FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

2nd

  • 1:01FLAUvis Balinskis · High stickingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 6:03FLACarter Verhaeghe · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:52OTTThomas Chabot · Slashingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 18:36OTTShane Pinto · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:55FLACarter Verhaeghe · Boardingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min

3rd

  • 12:08FLASam Reinhart · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalFLA goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Carter Verhaeghe, 2nd 13:13 — FLA 49% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.24B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.23M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.19D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.17D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.16D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.15S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.12M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.11S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.11J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.10F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.10D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.09M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.08F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.08F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.07A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.05T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.02D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsOTT
1.63 G
All situations
2 G3.1
0.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.52 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA24%76%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.61 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsOTT
21
Shots on goal
19
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/4
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
20
6
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77N. MikkolaD000-110.07210—24:27
42G. ForslingD112010.09200—22:55
5A. EkbladD022020.11110—22:27
13S. ReinhartC000-130.35202021:59
26U. BalinskisD000-110.02112—21:55
15A. LundellC011010.140005220:55
9S. BennettC000010.182122920:08
17E. RodriguesC101-220.101025018:00
27E. LuostarinenC000000.050003317:04
23C. VerhaegheC112-120.11004016:50
2J. PetryD000000.00210—15:10
10A. GreerL000+100.00010—12:22
11M. SamoskevichR000040.29300—12:21
95S. VilmanisL000000.04000—11:48
6D. SebrangoD000010.03300—09:11
70J. BoqvistC000000.0010010008:13
71L. KuninC000000.003006707:38
53J. StudnickaC000020.0310010006:37
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)19172.8953.12+1.1260:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).