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Oilers at Mammoth
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
5
Utah Mammoth
▸6
Final/OTTV ESPN, SN360·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-5 in overtime, Clayton Keller scoring at 0:33. The Mammoth came back from two goals down. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Clayton Keller's goal at 0:33 of overtime, which took the Mammoth's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 4.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were EDM 26, UTA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 1.5 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nick Schmaltz (2 G), 3. Alexander Kerfoot (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    N. Schmaltz2 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    A. Kerfoot1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM371121700526
UTAUTA1113101911631

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    J. Peterka(24)
    I. Cole (20), M. Carcone (14)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:53
  2. EDM
    C. Lazar(4)
    A. Henrique (12), M. Ekholm (34)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:04
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(44)PPG
    E. Bouchard (68), T. Jarry (1)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:56
  4. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(19)
    K. Kapanen (9)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    14:43

2nd period

  1. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(29)
    C. Keller (54), L. Crouse (20)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:28
  2. UTA
    L. Cooley(23)
    D. Guenther (30), S. Durzi (21)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:19
  3. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(18)
    D. Nurse (16), C. McDavid (84)
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +22 ptsVideo
    4-3
    16:06
  4. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(30)SHG
    J. Marino (31), A. Kerfoot (6)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +24 ptsVideo
    4-4
    19:24

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. Dach(4)
    T. Frederic (3), J. Dickinson (10)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +25 ptsVideo
    5-4
    2:09
  2. UTA
    A. Kerfoot(6)
    S. Durzi (22), M. Carcone (15)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +35 ptsVideo
    5-5
    12:56

Overtime

  1. UTA
    C. Keller(26)PPG
    M. Sergachev (46), D. Guenther (31)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +49 ptsVideo
    5-6
    0:33

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·UTA 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:36UTAClayton Keller · High stickingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 16:12EDMEvan Bouchard · Interferencedrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

2nd

  • 7:23EDMTy Emberson · Hookingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
  • 10:46UTAMacKenzie Weegar · High stickingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min
  • 18:11UTAMacKenzie Weegar · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

OT

  • 0:25EDMMatt Savoie · Trippingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalEDM goalFinal: UTA 100%

Biggest swing: Clayton Keller, OT 0:33 — UTA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.24K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.23C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.23B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.20D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.17L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.17K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.17N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.16C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.16K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.14J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.13J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.10D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.10K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.09J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.09A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.09N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.07J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.07L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.07L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.07D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.07S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.06L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.06D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.05M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.05L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.04D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.04L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.04S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.03M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.02L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.02J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.02J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA6 G · 4.5 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsUTA
2.85 G
All situations
6 G4.5
2.34 G
Even strength
4 G3.3
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM24%76%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 4.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsUTA
26
Shots on goal
31
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
6
14
Giveaways
27
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. MurphyD000+100.00320—23:44
25D. NurseD011+220.04220—23:15
2E. BouchardD011-100.09012—22:33
97C. McDavidC112-140.410006322:05
14M. EkholmD011+110.06010—20:20
22M. SavoieC000000.03002019:44
28J. RoslovicC000-300.000303317:12
42K. KapanenR011-120.06200—16:58
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101-230.260002516:51
92V. PodkolzinR101+120.293106715:43
16J. DickinsonC011020.532007115:20
96J. WalmanD000-220.02000—15:10
10T. FredericC011+120.13100014:44
34C. DachC101+130.63500014:01
49T. EmbersonD000-210.02222—13:06
19A. HenriqueC011-110.000104411:36
20C. LazarC101010.163002507:51
46M. JonesL000+100.00100—07:26
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(O)31256.8064.50-1.5060:33

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).