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Oilers at Mammoth
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Savoie's goal at 11:24 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 42% to 62%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were EDM 26, UTA 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Karel Vejmelka stopped 11 of 15 (.733), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Roslovic (2 G), 2. Evan Bouchard (3 A), 3. Lawson Crouse (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    J. Roslovic2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard3 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    L. Crouse1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1837111526
UTAUTA131708218

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    A. Kerfoot(3)
    S. Durzi (19), I. Cole (17)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:12
  2. EDM
    J. Roslovic(18)
    J. Walman (11), R. Nugent-Hopkins (34)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:27

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Savoie(12)SHG
    E. Bouchard (61), A. Henrique (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:24
  2. UTA
    L. Crouse(20)PPG
    M. Carcone (13), M. Weegar (20)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:59
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(39)
    M. Ekholm (32), E. Bouchard (62)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:07
  4. EDM
    J. Roslovic(19)
    Z. Hyman (18), E. Bouchard (63)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:04

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(40)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.96Video
    5-2
    19:52

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·UTA 0 PIM

2nd

  • 11:00EDMZach Hyman · High stickingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

3rd

  • 1:12EDMJason Dickinson · Holding the stickdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalEDM goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Savoie, 2nd 11:24 — EDM 42% → 62%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.22L. Crouse · Goal · xG 0.20K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.19J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.14C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.10L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.10J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.08M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.07L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.07L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.05D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.05M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.04L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.03M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.02S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · Goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.00N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA2 G · 2.2 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsUTA
3.24 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM50%50%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsUTA
26
Shots on goal
18
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/0
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
19
Hits
16
24
Blocked shots
20
14
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD033+430.20030—23:04
25D. NurseD000-110.07220—21:42
5C. MurphyD000-120.01020—21:05
14M. EkholmD011+430.10100—21:00
97C. McDavidC202+241.260105920:42
92V. PodkolzinR000+100.0010010017:44
96J. WalmanD011+110.16040—17:43
18Z. HymanL011+300.14702—17:42
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011+320.100301417:08
22M. SavoieC101+240.49100017:04
16J. DickinsonC000000.001125016:36
42K. KapanenR000000.16300—16:03
28J. RoslovicC202+240.211108015:44
49T. EmbersonD000+110.01030—15:33
81J. SamanskiC000000.121105010:43
19A. HenriqueC011000.000105010:04
15R. JarventieL000-110.120203308:52
46M. JonesL000-100.00100—08:32
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)18162.8892.16+0.1660:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).