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Mammoth at Oilers
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
3
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
FinalTV Utah16, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 6-3. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 13:33 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 33% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.8 to 3.1; shots on goal were UTA 23, EDM 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.4 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mattias Ekholm (1 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Walman (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Ekholm1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    J. Walman2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA291509323
EDMEDM0351516624

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    L. Cooley(8)
    D. Guenther (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:25
  2. UTA
    J. Peterka(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:45

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Ekholm(1)
    L. Draisaitl (5), E. Bouchard (4)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:22
  2. EDM
    I. Howard(2)
    A. Henrique (2)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:13
  3. UTA
    B. Hayton(2)
    N. Schmaltz (10), M. Sergachev (7)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-2
    8:19
  4. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(8)
    J. Walman (3), E. Bouchard (5)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:33
  5. EDM
    T. Emberson(1)
    A. Henrique (3), M. Ekholm (5)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-4
    14:10
  6. EDM
    C. McDavid(2)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (7), J. Walman (4)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-5
    17:56

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(3)EN
    E. Bouchard (6)
    wristxG 0.51win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    17:34

Penalties

UTA 2 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

3rd

  • 1:53UTALiam O'Brien · Cross checkingdrawn by Ty Emberson2 min
  • 7:05EDMEvan Bouchard · Slashingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 15:22EDMIsaac Howard · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Guenther2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalUTA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 2nd 13:33 — EDM 33% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.51J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.28I. Howard · Goal · xG 0.21L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.18R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08D. Tomasek · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.06D. Tomasek · On goal · xG 0.06J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.05T. Emberson · Goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.03D. Tomasek · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.02T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01I. Howard · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM6 G · 3.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsEDM
3.83 G
All situations
5 G3.1
2.93 G
Even strength
5 G2.4
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA69%31%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.76 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsEDM
23
Shots on goal
24
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011-110.33110—26:19
8N. SchmaltzC011030.380001423:04
88N. SchmidtD000-110.03210—20:30
26D. SimashevD000-110.06020—20:09
9C. KellerR000010.09020—20:06
6J. MarinoD000-100.01020—19:46
92L. CooleyC101-110.400003318:06
27B. HaytonC101+120.320005017:55
11D. GuentherR011-130.96000—17:44
77J. PeterkaR101-130.14110—16:54
28I. ColeD000020.06120—16:08
22J. McBainC000-110.090005014:08
67L. CrouseL000-130.58320—13:55
2O. MaattaD000-100.00000—13:04
82K. StenlundC000-200.272106712:45
53M. CarconeL000-110.12200—12:39
38L. O'BrienC000-200.00202008:08
13B. TanevL000-200.00300—07:45
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)23185.7832.61-2.3958:55

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).