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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
St. Louis Blues
1
FinalTV FDSNMW, ALT·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 3-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 19:32 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were COL 37, STL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Joel Hofer stopped 34 of 37 (.919). Three stars: 1. Valeri Nichushkin (2 G), 2. Robert Thomas (1 G), 3. Martin Necas (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Necas1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL21711406337
STLSTL0217010119

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(16)
    D. Toews (21), S. Malinski (31)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:11
  2. COL
    M. Necas(37)
    N. MacKinnon (72), A. Lehkonen (27)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:32

2nd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(17)SHG
    B. Nelson (31)
    between-legsxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-0
    1:40
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(22)
    T. Lindstein (2), J. Snuggerud (26)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:38

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 19:57COLDevon Toews · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min

2nd

  • 18:57STLLogan Mailloux · Trippingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 19:50COLGabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

3rd

  • 10:25COLSam Malinski · Trippingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 1st 19:32 — COL 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.21R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.20R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.20J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.17J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.17J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.12J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.11J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.09D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.08J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.06P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.06R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.06J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.06D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.01L. Mailloux · Missed · xG 0.01L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.01L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.00P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 2.3 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
3.13 G
All situations
1 G2.3
2.52 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL58%42%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
37
Shots on goal
19
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
11
Hits
22
16
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
19
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD011+220.06022—23:44
27B. KulakD000030.19000—22:40
88M. NecasC101+140.48110021:21
42J. MansonD000+130.04110—21:15
29N. MacKinnonC011+100.173105421:08
62A. LehkonenL011+110.19000—20:11
70S. MalinskiD011+150.10012—19:34
84B. BurnsD000030.08100—19:14
11B. NelsonC011+220.160205219:13
13V. NichushkinR202+261.10120—15:45
92G. LandeskogL000030.2000210015:16
37N. BlankenburgD000010.00020—13:27
18J. DruryC000-100.010005013:21
10N. RoyC000010.102005011:48
20R. ColtonC000+120.16100010:54
25L. O'ConnorR000-100.00000—09:35
17P. KellyC000-110.00110009:25
91N. KadriC000000.110303306:09
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(W)19181.9472.27+1.2760:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).