Skip to content
Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
2
FinalTV ESPN, SN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Robert Thomas's goal at 17:10 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were STL 29, COL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (3 G), 2. Jimmy Snuggerud (3 A), 3. Brent Burns (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas3 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Snuggerud3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    B. Burns1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11116112329
COLCOL1811208228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(19)
    J. Snuggerud (23), D. Holloway (22)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:01
  2. COL
    P. Kelly(20)
    B. Burns (21), L. O'Connor (2)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:10

2nd period

  1. COL
    B. Burns(12)
    N. Blankenburg (16), B. Nelson (30)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:40
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(20)
    D. Holloway (23), J. Snuggerud (24)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:09

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(21)
    J. Snuggerud (25), D. Holloway (24)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:10

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 19:48STLJonatan Berggren · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 12:37COLNazem Kadri · Trippingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min
  • 18:16STLJonatan Berggren · Holdingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

3rd

  • 2:26STLJack Finley · Holding the stickdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 4:20COLNathan MacKinnon · Slashingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min
  • 11:41COLJosh Manson · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 18:06COLGabriel Landeskog · Slashingdrawn by Logan Mailloux2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Robert Thomas, 3rd 17:10 — STL 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.20R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.20B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.19B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.19N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.18B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.17M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.16N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.13M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.09R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.09M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.06S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.01R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 2.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
4.23 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL69%31%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.95 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
28
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
13
12
Blocked shots
9
17
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000+110.04120—23:14
6P. BrobergD000+200.00010—22:19
17C. FowlerD000-200.00000—21:50
18R. ThomasC303+350.800005020:13
23L. MaillouxD000+210.05300—19:47
81D. HollowayL033+240.50110—18:32
21J. SnuggerudR033+381.44100—17:32
22P. SuterC000-130.211005715:10
89P. BuchnevichL000010.081305015:10
63J. NeighboursL000000.19200—14:56
25J. KyrouR000-120.08010—14:49
92J. DrouinL000-120.38020—14:12
41T. LindsteinD000+100.00000—14:01
29J. BerggrenR000-110.28204—13:48
75T. TuckerD000-200.06200—12:49
13A. ToropchenkoR000000.00010—12:19
37J. FinleyC000000.000128212:06
54D. DvorskyR000-110.100002911:13
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)28262.9292.77+0.7760:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).