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Blues at Avalanche
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
FinalTV FDSNMW, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 6-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 3:13 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 65% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.4 to 1.3; shots on goal were STL 13, COL 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 37 of 43 (.860), 2.6 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 12 of 13 (.923). Three stars: 1. Valeri Nichushkin (3 G), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 2 A), 3. Brock Nelson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin3 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    B. Nelson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL040316113
COLCOL42011419643

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(9)
    A. Lehkonen (18), B. Nelson (14)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:00
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(33)
    J. Manson (11), D. Toews (12)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:13
  3. COL
    V. Nichushkin(10)
    J. Manson (12), B. Burns (15)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    3:26
  4. COL
    N. MacKinnon(34)
    M. Necas (32), G. Landeskog (15)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-4
    4:39

2nd period

  1. COL
    B. Nelson(16)PPG
    C. Makar (33), N. MacKinnon (35)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    9:41

3rd period

  1. STL
    D. Dvorsky(6)
    M. Kessel (1)
    snapxG 0.01Video
    1-5
    14:32
  2. COL
    V. Nichushkin(11)
    S. Malinski (19), N. MacKinnon (36)
    wristxG 0.15Video
    1-6
    16:06

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·COL 6 PIM

2nd

  • 8:16STLJake Neighbours · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 11:07COLJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Jimmy Snuggerud2 min
  • 14:50COLParker Kelly · High stickingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 15:32STLJustin Faulk · Interferencedrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 19:51STLJake Neighbours · Trippingdrawn by Sam Malinski2 min

3rd

  • 6:52COLZakhar Bardakov · Trippingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSTL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 1st 3:13 — COL 65% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.31V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.30N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.24V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.17N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.16V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.15R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.13P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.12C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.11M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.09M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00
COL6 G · 3.4 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCOL
1.31 G
All situations
6 G3.4
0.91 G
Even strength
5 G3.3
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL15%85%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.27 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCOL
13
Shots on goal
43
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
6
24
Blocked shots
7
20
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD000-300.04010—22:09
72J. FaulkD000-110.04022—21:53
55C. ParaykoD000-310.02220—20:18
17C. FowlerD000-110.00010—19:29
18R. ThomasC000-200.070205017:56
89P. BuchnevichL000-100.15020—16:47
51M. KesselD011010.13230—16:03
75T. TuckerD000010.02110—15:57
54D. DvorskyR101+120.162005615:49
21J. SnuggerudR000-310.14030—15:30
10B. SchennC000-210.064004115:22
70O. SundqvistC000-100.001004314:41
29J. BerggrenR000000.10100—14:21
25J. KyrouR000020.2600010014:09
13A. ToropchenkoR000-100.00400—14:00
63J. NeighboursL000-300.00134—13:51
28O. StenbergC000+120.092304013:33
9R. FabbriC000-100.00210013:08
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)43376.8603.44-2.5659:39

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).