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Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes

Final/OTTV FDSNSO, NESN·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Boston Bruins 6-5 in overtime, Jaccob Slavin scoring at 1:13. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Hurricanes led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaccob Slavin's goal at 1:13 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were BOS 21, CAR 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jaccob Slavin (1 G), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sean Walker (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Slavin1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Hall1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Walker2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BOSBOS38191400521
CARCAR21331501211641

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:40
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:04
  3. CAR
    snapxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:38
  4. BOS
    snapxG 0.42win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:36
  5. BOS
    wristxG 0.27win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:25

2nd period

  1. CAR
    T. Hall (29), J. Blake (28)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-3
    5:17
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-4
    7:20
  3. CAR
    J. Blake (29), S. Walker (21)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-5
    8:33
  4. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-5
    18:50

3rd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.16win prob +34 ptsVideo
    5-5
    12:33

Overtime

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.22win prob +49 ptsVideo
    5-6
    1:13

Penalties

BOS 8 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:25CARserved by T. Hall · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 20:00BOSMark Kastelic · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Brandon Bussi2 min

2nd

  • 4:23BOSNikita Zadorov · Slashingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 19:22BOSCharlie McAvoy · Cross checkingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

3rd

  • 4:57BOSDavid Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 16:44CARJordan Martinook · Interferencedrawn by Jonathan Aspirot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalBOS goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jaccob Slavin, OT 1:13 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.26K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.24S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.22J. Slavin · Goal · xG 0.22S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.20A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.18N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.17S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.15S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.15T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.14J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.14J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.13W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.13N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12W. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.12L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.09J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.04W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.04A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.00T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 4.3 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsCAR
2.45 G
All situations
6 G4.3
1.95 G
Even strength
5 G3.7
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS21%79%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 4.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsCAR
21
Shots on goal
41
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
30
10
Blocked shots
11
23
Giveaways
17
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD022-100.03002—26:29
27H. LindholmD101+320.08000—22:19
28E. LindholmC011+120.140005021:39
88D. PastrnakR022+110.02002—20:09
26A. PeekeD000-100.00230—18:55
91N. ZadorovD022010.05412—18:41
39M. GeekieC303+141.19100017:37
45J. AspirotD000-220.05220—17:29
92M. KhusnutdinovC000-210.04200017:16
93F. MintenC000-100.072104117:00
18P. ZachaC112020.210007816:59
11C. MittelstadtC000+110.12010016:32
71V. ArvidssonL022+110.07010—15:54
6M. LohreiD000+210.05000—14:04
21A. SteevesC000-110.05300010:13
84T. JeannotL000000.09100—09:54
52S. KuralyC000020.130006709:15
47M. KastelicC000000.001122506:20
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(O)17161.9411.97+0.9732:40
1J. Swayman24195.7922.36-2.6428:33

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).