Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Casey Mittelstadt's goal at 1:27 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were CAR 29, BOS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeremy Swayman (28 saves, .966), 2. Charlie McAvoy (2 A), 3. Casey Mittelstadt (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Swayman28 saves, .966

- ★★C. McAvoy2 A

- ★★★C. Mittelstadt1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals3rd period
0-11:27
0-25:05
1-217:11
Penalties
1st
- 13:31
Nikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min
2nd
- 1:43
Seth Jarvis · Holdingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Casey Mittelstadt, 3rd 1:27 — 52% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.01 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.4
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 2 G3.1
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 3.25
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 21
- Hits
- 26
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 14
- Giveaways
- 9
- 6
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
CAR leads 2-1
1@
2this game
3@
1Final
5@
6OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
