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Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins

FinalTV FDSNSO, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Boston Bruins 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 8:25 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were CAR 32, BOS 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pyotr Kochetkov (29 saves, .967), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Staal (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Hall1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR01021319332
BOSBOS0907114130

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:25
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.34win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:34

3rd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.19win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:27
  2. BOS
    R. Tufte(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.24Video
    3-1
    19:50

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:09CARK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 11:25BOSNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

2nd

  • 18:13CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Marat Khusnutdinov2 min

3rd

  • 7:23CARShayne Gostisbehere · Embellishment2 min
  • 7:23BOSNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 10:54BOSFraser Minten · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 14:39CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Marat Khusnutdinov2 min
  • 18:08CARAlexander Nikishin · Hookingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalCAR goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 2nd 8:25 — CAR 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Tufte · Goal · xG 0.24M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.17M. Blümel · On goal · xG 0.15F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.07N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.07R. Tufte · On goal · xG 0.06M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.06F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.06M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.06M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.05M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.05F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.04A. Steeves · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.03A. Steeves · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.03M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.02M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.02J. Aspirot · On goal · xG 0.02A. Steeves · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01R. Tufte · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01A. Steeves · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.00N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS1 G · 1.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsBOS
3.73 G
All situations
1 G1.6
2.83 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR83%17%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.66 – 1.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsBOS
32
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
20
15
Giveaways
27
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19K. MillerD000+210.02102—21:48
64J. NystromD022+210.03010—20:01
26S. WalkerD011+130.13220—19:45
21A. NikishinD000010.15422—19:35
24S. JarvisR000030.47000—19:13
4S. GostisbehereD000+110.04012—18:45
20S. AhoC000+120.280006018:40
6M. ReillyD000040.17000—17:34
11J. StaalC101+120.255104515:39
37A. SvechnikovR000040.37102—14:57
48J. MartinookL000+100.001123313:53
71T. HallL112+230.33100—13:51
50E. RobinsonL000+220.13100—13:35
27N. EhlersL000030.54000—13:29
77M. JankowskiL101+110.470005813:13
53J. BlakeR000000.00020—12:39
22L. StankovenC000000.070001812:09
28W. CarrierL011+110.22300—11:32
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)30291.9671.62+0.6260:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).