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Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV ESPN, NBCSP·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New Jersey Devils 5-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Foerster's goal at 2:46 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 62% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 20, NJD 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Trevor Zegras (2 G, 1 A), 2. Tyson Foerster (2 G), 3. Matvei Michkov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Zegras2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Foerster2 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    M. Michkov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI272914520
NJDNJD1100905124

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:56
  2. PHI
    T. Zegras(25)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:38
  3. NJD
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:12

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.16win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    2:46
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    4:58

3rd period

  1. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.41Video
    5-1
    17:09

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:21NJDJack Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

2nd

  • 0:31PHIserved by M. Michkov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:38PHINoah Cates · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 8:20PHIDenver Barkey · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:47NJDBrian Halonen · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPHI goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Tyson Foerster, 2nd 2:46 — PHI 62% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.14T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.13J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.13J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.12T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.09M. McLaughlin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.08P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.08J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02B. Halonen · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.01B. Halonen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.00L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD1 G · 2.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNJD
1.94 G
All situations
1 G2.5
1.13 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI32%68%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.53 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNJD
20
Shots on goal
24
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
3
20
Giveaways
18
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD011+100.00030—24:45
55R. RistolainenD000+200.00200—23:34
8C. YorkD000+200.00310—21:45
22C. DvorakC000+130.141105717:52
9J. DrysdaleD011+110.03030—17:49
14S. CouturierC000010.031009117:25
11T. KonecnyR000+100.00000—16:14
24N. SeelerD101+110.41020—16:00
94P. MartoneR011+120.07120—15:44
71T. FoersterR202+340.59010—15:19
74O. TippettR011+210.16100—14:57
46T. ZegrasC213+220.220106013:50
39M. MichkovR022+100.00000—13:46
41L. GlendeningC000010.081005613:46
27N. CatesL000-130.120021313:25
36E. AndraeD000-100.00100—13:23
52D. BarkeyC000000.00102013:00
20A. BumpL000-110.09310—11:31
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)24231.9582.51+1.5160:00

Season series

PHI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).