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Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV NBCSP, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New Jersey Devils 5-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matvei Michkov's goal at 0:53 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 45% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were PHI 31, NJD 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Jacob Markstrom stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Owen Tippett (2 G, 1 A), 2. Travis Konecny (2 A), 3. Dawson Mercer (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    O. Tippett2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Mercer1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI18312111531
NJDNJD16114112332

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    C. Dvorak (10), T. Zegras (15)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:18
  2. NJD
    slapxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:09

2nd period

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:53
  2. PHI
    T. Konecny (14), C. York (11)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:16
  3. PHI
    slapxG 0.24win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    13:03
  4. NJD
    T. Meier(9)PPG
    D. Mercer (10), J. Bratt (19)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:33

3rd period

  1. NJD
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    6:28
  2. PHI
    Unassisted
    xG 0.53win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:11

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:48NJDSimon Nemec · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 18:45PHIMatvei Michkov · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min

2nd

  • 16:04NJDBrenden Dillon · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 16:04NJDBrenden Dillon · Cross checkingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 16:04PHISean Couturier · Cross checkingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 17:38PHIserved by M. Michkov · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 6:57PHIGarnet Hathaway · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:16PHICam York · Slashingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPHI goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Matvei Michkov, 2nd 0:53 — PHI 45% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.22D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.20N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.15N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.15D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.14L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.13O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.12D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.12J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.09S. Nemec · Goal · xG 0.08D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.08D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.07J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.07D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.06S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.05S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.04S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.03J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.01S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsNJD
3.55 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.65 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI53%47%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsNJD
31
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
20
23
Blocked shots
7
12
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD011+100.00020—24:52
8C. YorkD011010.09132—23:10
9J. DrysdaleD000+310.02000—19:50
24N. SeelerD000+120.03250—19:12
22C. DvorakC011+230.130004619:00
14S. CouturierC000+110.094326917:29
11T. KonecnyR022+220.09120—17:27
27N. CatesL000+110.130102516:57
36E. AndraeD000+110.02000—16:29
71T. FoersterR000020.32310—16:15
74O. TippettR213+241.02220—15:34
46T. ZegrasC112+120.400106715:06
5E. ZamulaD000010.03020—14:22
10B. BrinkR000-130.21110—13:12
39M. MichkovR202+160.80102—12:57
18R. AbolsC000010.183003110:45
19G. HathawayR000000.0000210010:08
29N. GrebenkinR000000.00200—09:25
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)32293.9062.85-0.1560:00

Season series

PHI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).