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New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, MSGSN·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the New Jersey Devils 6-3. The Devils scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Foerster's goal at 12:15 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — NJD 3.3, PHI 3.5; shots on goal were NJD 35, PHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 23 of 29 (.793), 2.5 goals below expected; Dan Vladar stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Tyson Foerster (2 G), 2. Noah Cates (1 G, 2 A), 3. Dan Vladar (32 saves, .914).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Foerster2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    N. Cates1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    D. Vladar32 saves, .914

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD19113113335
PHIPHI41011019629

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    T. Meier(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.46win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:37
  2. PHI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:00
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:06
  4. PHI
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:15
  5. PHI
    wristxG 0.02win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-4
    12:32

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    11:42
  2. NJD
    L. Hughes (11), J. Bratt (15)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    16:16

3rd period

  1. NJD
    S. Nemec (9), J. Bratt (16)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-5
    13:27
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.18win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    15:21

Penalties

NJD 12 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:18PHICam York · Hookingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
  • 14:44NJDArseny Gritsyuk · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 16:38PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 16:38NJDBrenden Dillon · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 18:26PHIMatvei Michkov · Roughingdrawn by Arseny Gritsyuk2 min
  • 18:26NJDArseny Gritsyuk · Roughingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
  • 18:26PHIMatvei Michkov · Slashingdrawn by Arseny Gritsyuk2 min

2nd

  • 1:12NJDNico Hischier · High stickingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

3rd

  • 10:38NJDSimon Nemec · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 18:00NJDLuke Hughes · Interferencedrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNJD goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Tyson Foerster, 1st 12:15 — PHI 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.21C. York · On goal · xG 0.18T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.18C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.18T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.18E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.14N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.13N. Cates · Goal · xG 0.13E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.12R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.12T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.12M. Michkov · Goal · xG 0.11T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.11B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.10T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.10T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.10N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.09N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.08M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.08S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.07B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.07B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.05N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.05B. Brink · Goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.05R. Abols · Missed · xG 0.04T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.04T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.03M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02C. York · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.02E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI6 G · 3.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsPHI
3.33 G
All situations
6 G3.5
1.82 G
Even strength
6 G2.2
1.31 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD45%55%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsPHI
35
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
23
4
Blocked shots
10
14
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD011-150.17002—22:29
7D. HamiltonD000-230.12100—22:26
63J. BrattL033+160.35100—20:50
91D. MercerC000-110.271104220:25
13N. HischierC213+150.711026120:11
17S. NemecD011030.20002—20:05
28T. MeierR101+130.83300—19:43
5B. DillonD000-210.01302—19:15
71J. SiegenthalerD000-210.00410—18:07
16C. BrownR000-310.02000—15:56
44D. CholowskiD000-100.00100—15:08
81A. GritsyukR000-220.18014—13:11
14L. GlendeningC000020.102005012:14
47P. CotterL000-100.07100—11:33
11S. NoesenR000-100.09010—11:27
18O. PalatL000-210.14600—10:18
33E. DadonovL000-210.02000—09:43
83J. LammikkoC000-200.004005009:27
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)29236.7933.46-2.5459:32

Season series

PHI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).