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Hurricanes at Senators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Ottawa Senators
▸6
FinalTV FDSNSO, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Carolina Hurricanes 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Senators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Tkachuk's goal at 8:33 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 5.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were CAR 28, OTT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (2 G), 2. Tim Stützle (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ridly Greig (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    R. Greig2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR2130916328
OTTOTT21511036631

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    L. Stankoven(18)PPG
    N. Ehlers (41), J. Blake (26)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:22
  2. OTT
    D. Cozens(27)PPG
    T. Stützle (46), D. Batherson (35)
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:17
  3. OTT
    T. Stützle(33)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:51
  4. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(29)
    Unassisted
    pokexG 0.34win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:40

2nd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(21)
    A. Zub (24), R. Greig (20)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    8:33

3rd period

  1. OTT
    S. Pinto(21)PPG
    F. Zetterlund (15)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-4
    2:50
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(22)
    R. Greig (21), D. Cozens (28)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-5
    6:32
  3. CAR
    T. Hall(16)
    S. Walker (19), J. Blake (27)
    backhandxG 0.09Video
    3-5
    17:30
  4. OTT
    C. Giroux(13)EN
    S. Pinto (21), J. Sanderson (38)
    wristxG 0.54Video
    3-6
    19:03

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:03OTTJordan Spence · Holdingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 6:22CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min

2nd

  • 18:24OTTNick Cousins · High stickingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

3rd

  • 0:59CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCAR goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Brady Tkachuk, 2nd 8:33 — OTT 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.68C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.54D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.34J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.32D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.29J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.28T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.21C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.18B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.17D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.15N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.15D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.15S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.13D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.12N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.09L. Thomson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.08R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.06J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.04R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.04R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Crotty · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Crotty · On goal · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.00S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT6 G · 5.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsOTT
2.03 G
All situations
5 G5.2
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.51 G
Power play
2 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR25%75%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsOTT
28
Shots on goal
31
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/2
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
30
Hits
28
11
Blocked shots
22
16
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000010.01020—21:23
5J. ChatfieldD000020.08010—20:37
19K. MillerD000-210.01220—19:33
26S. WalkerD011-230.06110—19:05
27N. EhlersL011030.08010—17:53
21A. NikishinD000000.00300—17:31
4S. GostisbehereD000+120.08100—17:10
24S. JarvisR000-120.181103316:57
20S. AhoC000-110.060004016:27
37A. SvechnikovR101040.48204—16:12
77M. JankowskiL000020.151003016:06
53J. BlakeR022-100.00000—15:14
71T. HallL101-130.31100—15:09
22L. StankovenC101-130.341004514:44
50E. RobinsonL000-110.07100—14:44
82J. KotkaniemiC000-100.003104214:04
44N. DeslauriersL000-100.10900—13:46
28W. CarrierL000000.0242010012:07
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)30255.8333.61-1.3958:32

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).