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Hurricanes at Senators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Ottawa Senators
1
FinalTV FDSNSO, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 5:36 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 19, OTT 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.6 goals saved above expected; James Reimer stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Bussi (36 saves, .973), 2. Seth Jarvis (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tim Stützle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. Bussi36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR381803419
OTTOTT01417016137

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    W. Carrier(6)
    M. Jankowski (7), J. Chatfield (10)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:53
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(23)
    A. Nikishin (15)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:36
  3. CAR
    T. Hall(12)
    J. Blake (15), J. Chatfield (11)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    18:43

2nd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(18)PPG
    N. Ehlers (26), S. Jarvis (16)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-0
    9:29
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(23)
    J. Sanderson (31), C. Giroux (27)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-1
    12:11

Penalties

CAR 18 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:17OTTJake Sanderson · High stickingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 8:34CARAlexander Nikishin · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

2nd

  • 3:07CARSean Walker · Kneeingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 8:39OTTJake Sanderson · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 8:49OTTClaude Giroux · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 13:52CARTaylor Hall · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 13:52CARTaylor Hall · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:35OTTNick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by Joel Nystrom2 min

3rd

  • 15:21CARSean Walker · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCAR goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, 1st 5:36 — CAR 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.26A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.25S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.18T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.11T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.10T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.10F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.09T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.09S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.07S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.06S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.06T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.01S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.00L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.00N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 2.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsOTT
2.14 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR33%67%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.65 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsOTT
19
Shots on goal
37
32%
Faceoffs
68%
1/4
Power play
0/4
18
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
34
13
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5J. ChatfieldD022+110.10200—24:20
74J. SlavinD000+100.00050—23:36
19K. MillerD000000.00320—22:37
24S. JarvisR112+110.07000—18:42
20S. AhoC000+100.01100918:35
26S. WalkerD000020.16204—17:50
48J. MartinookL000-110.0601010017:49
11J. StaalC000-110.171203017:48
27N. EhlersL011-110.01010—17:44
21A. NikishinD011+110.44102—16:30
37A. SvechnikovR101+120.36100—15:57
77M. JankowskiL011+110.180204313:23
53J. BlakeR011+100.00000—12:41
22L. StankovenC000+130.250005011:55
82J. KotkaniemiC000+120.10000011:31
28W. CarrierL101+110.16100—11:23
71T. HallL101+110.040012—09:59
64J. NystromD000+110.01000—09:40
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32B. Bussi(W)37361.9732.55+1.5560:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).