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Panthers at Penguins
NHL

Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
2
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
FinalTV SN-PIT, SCRIPPS·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Florida Panthers 5-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 19:12 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were FLA 31, PIT 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 1.7 goals below expected; Arturs Silovs stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Rickard Rakell (2 G), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 2 A), 3. Arturs Silovs (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    R. Rakell2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    A. Silovs29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA17011113231
PITPIT3811015523

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    E. Soderblom(6)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:00
  2. FLA
    C. Schwindt(4)
    V. Hinostroza (10), G. Forsling (25)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:15
  3. PIT
    S. Crosby(29)
    E. Chinakhov (18), B. Rust (36)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:50
  4. PIT
    R. Rakell(23)PPG
    S. Crosby (42), E. Malkin (40)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:12

2nd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(24)
    E. Malkin (41), T. Novak (25)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    18:08

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(28)
    S. Crosby (43), E. Chinakhov (19)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    3:48
  2. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(24)PPG
    S. Jones (24)
    wristxG 0.06Video
    2-5
    14:15

Penalties

FLA 23 PIM·PIT 21 PIM

1st

  • 3:52FLASam Bennett · Holdingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 8:44FLADonovan Sebrango · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:29PITBryan Rust · Trippingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 18:20FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 18:20FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon5 min
  • 18:20PITParker Wotherspoon · Fightingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk5 min

2nd

  • 1:00FLAMackie Samoskevich · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 1:00PITKris Letang · Slashingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 2:38FLAEetu Luostarinen · High sticking double minordrawn by Rickard Rakell4 min
  • 8:11PITSamuel Girard · Holdingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min

3rd

  • 0:19PITBryan Rust · Interferencedrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 6:24PITConnor Clifton · High stickingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min
  • 7:48FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min
  • 7:48PITParker Wotherspoon · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 7:48FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min
  • 9:17FLAA.J. Greer · Holdingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 12:45PITConnor Clifton · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 18:05PITBryan Rust · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalFLA goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 1st 19:12 — PIT 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.45S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.22B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.18R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.18B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.17B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.14B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.14R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.10K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.10E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.09N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.09E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.09E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.09E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.08C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.06T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.06T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.06E. Soderblom · Goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kindel · Missed · xG 0.00B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 3.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsPIT
2.92 G
All situations
5 G3.3
1.31 G
Even strength
4 G1.2
1.11 G
Power play
1 G2.1
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA44%56%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsPIT
31
Shots on goal
23
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/6
Power play
1/7
23
Penalty minutes
21
28
Hits
7
9
Blocked shots
16
16
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD011-310.04000—24:50
42G. ForslingD011040.11020—24:21
23C. VerhaegheC101050.191003322:43
7D. KulikovD000020.12120—21:59
9S. BennettC000030.291044721:28
19M. TkachukL000030.48009—21:09
11M. SamoskevichR000-110.33402—20:38
27E. LuostarinenC000-110.151146716:59
10A. GreerL000-100.152023315:51
6D. SebrangoD000010.17302—14:00
20M. BenningD000010.06010—12:58
70J. BoqvistC000-120.0731010012:45
22T. BjornfotD000-300.01020—12:36
92T. NosekL000000.012007810:19
79C. SchwindtR101-230.353005009:45
24V. HinostrozaC011-210.06000009:01
18N. GregorL000010.08300—08:09
25N. FooteL000-120.21400—05:37
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(L)23185.7833.33-1.6760:00

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).