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Penguins at Panthers
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
Florida Panthers
3
FinalTV SN-PIT, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Florida Panthers 5-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ben Kindel's goal at 15:24 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.2 to 3.2; shots on goal were PIT 17, FLA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 12 of 17 (.706), 3.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brad Marchand (2 G), 3. Erik Karlsson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    B. Marchand2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT172624517
FLAFLA06113218337

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(5)PPG
    B. Rust (3), E. Malkin (9)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:24

2nd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(3)
    E. Karlsson (4), S. Crosby (5)
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:36
  2. FLA
    B. Marchand(4)PPG
    M. Samoskevich (3), S. Jones (4)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:26
  3. PIT
    B. Kindel(2)
    T. Novak (2)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:24

3rd period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(3)PPG
    M. Samoskevich (4), S. Jones (5)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:24
  2. PIT
    C. Dewar(3)
    E. Karlsson (5)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    4:49
  3. FLA
    B. Marchand(5)
    E. Luostarinen (1), A. Lundell (5)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-3
    11:06
  4. PIT
    S. Crosby(6)PPG
    R. Rakell (5), E. Malkin (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-3
    11:49

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:48FLAJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Tommy Novak2 min
  • 19:00PITBryan Rust · Roughingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 19:00PITParker Wotherspoon · Roughingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 19:00FLAAnton Lundell · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

2nd

  • 8:08PITConnor Clifton · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min

3rd

  • 1:32PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 11:34FLAAaron Ekblad · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPIT goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Ben Kindel, 2nd 15:24 — PIT 68% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.45S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.20S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.20C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.19B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.15E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.14B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.13E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.13C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.12E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.12E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.12B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.11E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.05A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.05J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.05M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.02M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.01E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01
FLA3 G · 4.2 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsFLA
3.25 G
All situations
3 G4.2
1.33 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.32 G
Power play
2 G1.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT11%89%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.52 – 4.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsFLA
17
Shots on goal
37
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/2
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
26
19
Blocked shots
9
13
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD022+310.04010—22:27
5R. SheaD000010.05000—21:47
17B. RustR011+100.92122—21:43
58K. LetangD000+110.01110—20:56
28P. WotherspoonD000+220.05042—19:35
67R. RakellR112+120.46100—19:07
87S. CrosbyC213020.194105419:06
75C. CliftonD000-100.02432—17:53
82C. JonesD000-100.01140—16:39
71E. MalkinC022000.060024515:29
39A. ManthaR000-110.04000—15:28
16J. BrazeauR000-110.08210—15:12
55N. AcciariC000+200.881107314:36
81B. KindelC101+120.201102911:54
46B. LizotteC000+110.030006711:52
19C. DewarC101+120.11200011:51
11F. HallanderC000010.09000010:58
18T. NovakC011+100.00000010:17
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)37343.9194.25+1.2560:00

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).