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Panthers at Penguins
NHL

Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins

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Florida Panthers
4
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸9
FinalTV SN-PIT, SCRIPPS·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Florida Panthers 9-4. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 8-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 1:51 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were FLA 23, PIT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 9 of 12 (.750), 1.9 goals below expected; Arturs Silovs stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (3 G, 1 A), 2. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 3 A), 3. Elmer Soderblom (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Soderblom1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA2706210423
PITPIT2961814931

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    N. Acciari(12)
    E. Soderblom (5), E. Karlsson (48)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:20
  2. PIT
    E. Karlsson(14)PPG
    S. Crosby (40), E. Chinakhov (17)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:06
  3. FLA
    A. Greer(15)
    C. Reinhardt (5), G. Forsling (24)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:10
  4. FLA
    S. Jones(7)
    C. Schwindt (2)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:31

2nd period

  1. PIT
    A. Mantha(31)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:51
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(16)PPG
    E. Karlsson (49), S. Crosby (41)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-4
    5:51
  3. PIT
    E. Malkin(17)
    T. Novak (24), R. Rakell (24)
    tip-inxG 0.37win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-5
    8:27
  4. PIT
    E. Soderblom(5)
    C. Dewar (16)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-6
    9:53
  5. PIT
    R. Rakell(22)PPG
    E. Malkin (39), E. Karlsson (50)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-7
    17:48
  6. PIT
    R. Shea(6)
    S. Girard (15), A. Mantha (30)
    wristxG 0.04Video
    2-8
    18:07

3rd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(18)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27Video
    2-9
    3:30
  2. FLA
    N. Gregor(4)
    S. Bennett (32), M. Tkachuk (19)
    backhandxG 0.14Video
    3-9
    8:02
  3. FLA
    M. Samoskevich(10)
    A. Greer (13)
    snapxG 0.05Video
    4-9
    10:46

Penalties

FLA 11 PIM·PIT 5 PIM

1st

  • 4:12FLAMike Benning · Boardingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

2nd

  • 4:26FLADonovan Sebrango · Interferencedrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
  • 15:05FLALuke Kunin · Fightingdrawn by Connor Clifton5 min
  • 15:05PITConnor Clifton · Fightingdrawn by Luke Kunin5 min
  • 15:54FLAEetu Luostarinen · Hookingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalFLA goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 2nd 1:51 — PIT 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.37E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.27T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.22E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.18E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.16T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11E. Soderblom · Goal · xG 0.11N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.09T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.09E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.08C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.05C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.05J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.04N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.04R. Shea · Goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.03N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT9 G · 3.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsPIT
1.44 G
All situations
9 G3.3
1.44 G
Even strength
6 G2.6
0.00 G
Power play
3 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA19%81%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.43 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsPIT
23
Shots on goal
31
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/0
Power play
3/3
11
Penalty minutes
5
18
Hits
10
14
Blocked shots
11
21
Giveaways
19
0
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD101010.02020—22:43
6D. SebrangoD000030.08112—22:42
42G. ForslingD011030.05010—21:17
20M. BenningD000-220.07022—18:09
96M. HovorkaD000000.00300—17:55
22T. BjornfotD000-200.00020—17:20
10A. GreerL112020.35110—17:04
27E. LuostarinenC000010.072125916:21
92T. NosekL000-200.001105016:19
19M. TkachukL011-100.00300—15:41
9S. BennettC011-110.010103114:53
23C. VerhaegheC000-220.07000014:52
70J. BoqvistC000-200.00000014:39
11M. SamoskevichR101-130.35200—14:05
18N. GregorL101-120.2701010013:28
29C. ReinhardtL011+220.08100—13:19
71L. KuninC000+110.01215012:38
79C. SchwindtR011+100.012005012:22
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov1293.7501.13-1.8730:07
72S. Bobrovsky(L)19136.6842.12-3.8829:53

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).