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Flames at Ducks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸5
Anaheim Ducks
3
FinalTV KTTV, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-3. The Ducks scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matvei Gridin's goal at 7:49 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.2 to 3.5; shots on goal were CGY 20, ANA 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Ville Husso stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leo Carlsson (1 G), 2. Joel Farabee (1 G, 1 A), 3. Devin Cooley (36 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Farabee1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Cooley36 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY163915520
ANAANA116010213339

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    B. Sennecke(23)
    J. LaCombe (46), J. Trouba (24)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:11
  2. CGY
    J. Farabee(18)
    M. Gridin (11), K. Bahl (14)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:24

2nd period

  1. CGY
    R. Strome(8)
    M. Pospisil (2), V. Olofsson (18)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:20
  2. CGY
    M. Gridin(6)
    J. Farabee (18), H. Brzustewicz (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:49
  3. CGY
    M. Frost(20)
    O. Maatta (10), B. Coleman (14)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    18:44

3rd period

  1. ANA
    L. Carlsson(27)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    7:49
  2. ANA
    M. McTavish(15)PPG
    A. Killorn (17)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-3
    9:51
  3. CGY
    M. Frost(21)EN
    M. Coronato (23)
    wristxG 0.86win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-3
    18:49

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

2nd

  • 11:40ANABeckett Sennecke · Hookingdrawn by Olli Maatta2 min
  • 16:27CGYZach Whitecloud · Slashingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min

3rd

  • 8:54CGYMorgan Frost · Holdingdrawn by Jackson LaCombe2 min
  • 14:54CGYBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Hinds2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCGY goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Matvei Gridin, 2nd 7:49 — CGY 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.29L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.19J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.16R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.16J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.14R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.14L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.13B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.13M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.13T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.12B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.11T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.11B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.09M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.09L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.08J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.06T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.06D. Helleson · Missed · xG 0.05M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.04A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hinds · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.03T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.03L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.03R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hinds · On goal · xG 0.02T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.02L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hinds · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hinds · Missed · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hinds · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 3.5 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsANA
4.24 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.14 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY32%68%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsANA
20
Shots on goal
39
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
21
16
Blocked shots
13
20
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28Z. WhitecloudD000+210.55332—25:45
7K. BahlD011+200.00020—24:17
11M. BacklundC000-120.011106021:40
3O. MaattaD011+110.02000—19:55
20B. ColemanL011+110.7142210018:51
37Y. KuznetsovD000+100.00010—17:20
19Z. ParekhD000000.15010—15:49
86J. FarabeeL112+220.38010—15:42
16M. FrostC202+451.322126715:32
48H. BrzustewiczD011000.00200—15:16
27M. CoronatoR011010.07100—15:11
22R. StromeC101020.172105814:18
92M. GridinR112+230.35010—14:02
17Y. SharangovichC000000.00000013:25
95V. OlofssonL011020.34000—13:08
76M. PospisilC011000.00710012:46
47C. ZaryC000+100.00010011:47
43A. KlapkaR000000.08500—10:19
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley(W)39363.9233.47+0.4760:00

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).