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Ducks at Flames
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
Calgary Flames
3
Final/OTTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Calgary Flames 4-3 in overtime, Beckett Sennecke scoring at 2:54. The Ducks came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Beckett Sennecke's goal at 2:54 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were ANA 21, CGY 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Dustin Wolf stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Beckett Sennecke (3 G), 2. Matt Coronato (1 G, 1 A), 3. Hunter Brzustewicz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    B. Sennecke3 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Coronato1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    H. Brzustewicz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA03281614421
CGYCGY2170101701335

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    J. Huberdeau(9)
    M. Backlund (20), M. Coronato (14)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:17
  2. CGY
    H. Brzustewicz(1)
    A. Klapka (7), J. Farabee (10)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:56

2nd period

  1. ANA
    B. Sennecke(16)
    A. Killorn (10), M. Granlund (13)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:22
  2. ANA
    B. Sennecke(17)
    M. Granlund (14), A. Killorn (11)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:41

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Coronato(14)PPG
    M. Gridin (2), N. Kadri (26)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:50
  2. ANA
    C. Kreider(17)
    R. Poehling (14), C. Gauthier (23)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +35 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:08

Overtime

  1. ANA
    B. Sennecke(18)
    J. LaCombe (27)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:54

Penalties

ANA 2 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:39CGYYan Kuznetsov · High stickingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min

2nd

  • 18:45CGYJustin Kirkland · Holdingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min

3rd

  • 3:37ANADrew Helleson · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalANA goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Beckett Sennecke, OT 2:54 — ANA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.44J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.29J. Kirkland · On goal · xG 0.24M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.20J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.16M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.16C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.13J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.10M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.09Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.07J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.07C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.06M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02H. Brzustewicz · Goal · xG 0.02J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.01M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01H. Brzustewicz · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.00M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.00K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.2 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCGY
2.34 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.34 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA37%63%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCGY
21
Shots on goal
35
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
28
16
Blocked shots
18
17
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65J. TroubaD000020.01120—24:54
2J. LaCombeD011+110.03010—24:38
7R. GudasD000020.05130—22:13
98P. MintyukovD000+100.02110—20:34
45B. SenneckeR303+230.44110—19:32
61C. GauthierL011+120.171003318:49
17A. KillornL022+130.33100—18:21
64M. GranlundC022+110.110103818:18
51O. ZellwegerD000+100.00030—17:37
25R. PoehlingC011+100.152105816:31
20C. KreiderL101+240.81000—16:10
24J. HarkinsC000000.031003615:19
28J. VielL000000.03420—15:05
16R. StromeC000010.06200014:35
42T. WasheC000-120.054105012:01
44R. JohnstonL000-100.05600—11:21
14D. HellesonD000000.00002—11:01
74I. MooreD000-100.00000—10:30
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)35323.9143.21+0.2162:54

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).