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Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames

Final/OTTV Victory+, KCOP-13·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Calgary Flames 3-2 in overtime, Mikael Granlund scoring at 4:59. The Flames scored first; the Ducks answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Granlund's goal at 4:59 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were ANA 33, CGY 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Devin Cooley stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Mikael Granlund (3 G), 2. Olli Maatta (2 A), 3. Devin Cooley (30 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    M. Granlund3 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    O. Maatta2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Cooley30 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA081811512333
CGYCGY010171800225

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:06
  2. ANA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:07

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.03win prob +29 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:46
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.09win prob +35 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:27

Overtime

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.13win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:59

Penalties

ANA 2 PIM·CGY 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:03CGYserved by V. Olofsson · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 4:40CGYAdam Klapka · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 15:55CGYHunter Brzustewicz · Cross checkingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min

3rd

  • 4:57ANAChris Kreider · Slashingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
  • 15:18CGYBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min

OT

  • 4:03CGYserved by Zayne Parekh · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalANA goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Mikael Granlund, OT 4:59 — ANA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.22B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.19M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.15Z. Parekh · Missed · xG 0.14Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.13M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.13M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.12M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.10M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.09B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.05M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.03J. Beecher · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.03M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Gridin · Goal · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.02A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.00Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCGY
3.03 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA65%35%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCGY
33
Shots on goal
25
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/5
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
10
22
Hits
17
14
Blocked shots
21
16
Giveaways
24
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD022030.15100—26:55
2J. LaCombeD000-130.10020—25:58
65J. TroubaD000-130.09010—23:31
61C. GauthierL011050.552006022:03
91L. CarlssonC011-110.350004220:05
64M. GranlundC303+160.381105319:31
20C. KreiderL000-110.15102—18:19
17A. KillornL000+100.10110—17:48
98P. MintyukovD000020.03020—17:44
25R. PoehlingC000010.210005916:54
45B. SenneckeR000010.24000—15:47
23M. McTavishC000-110.1640010015:05
28J. VielL000020.10110—14:46
77F. VatranoR000-110.02200—13:38
51O. ZellwegerD000010.10100—13:25
42T. WasheC000-110.274105012:51
3I. MooreD000000.01300—11:00
7R. GudasD000010.01150—08:33
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33V. Husso(W)25232.9202.13+0.1364:59

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).