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Golden Knights at Oilers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SCRIPPS, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colton Sissons's goal at 5:44 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals were close — VGK 3.3, EDM 3.2; shots on goal were VGK 33, EDM 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Connor Ingram stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brett Howden (1 G, 1 A), 2. Carter Hart (31 saves, .969), 3. Jack Eichel (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    B. Howden1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Hart31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK111211211533
EDMEDM01018014132

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.27win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:43

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Marner (54), J. Lauzon (12)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:44
  2. VGK
    J. Eichel (56), B. Howden (10)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    8:05
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.10win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:26

3rd period

  1. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-1
    4:04
  2. VGK
    slapxG 0.06Video
    5-1
    16:13

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:09EDMConnor Murphy · Holdingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 8:09VGKPavel Dorofeyev · Slashingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 14:06VGKNoah Hanifin · Trippingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min

3rd

  • 1:51VGKKaedan Korczak · Trippingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 14:25EDMMax Jones · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVGK goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Colton Sissons, 2nd 5:44 — VGK 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.31M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.25C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.22A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.16C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.15M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.12K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.11M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.11E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.10E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.10J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.08A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.05V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.05T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.04C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM1 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsEDM
3.35 G
All situations
1 G3.2
2.94 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK52%48%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.28 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsEDM
33
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
34
15
Blocked shots
11
19
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15N. HanifinD011020.02002—22:59
3B. McNabbD000+110.03310—22:34
4R. AnderssonD101010.06040—22:03
93M. MarnerR011+110.491102021:37
27S. TheodoreD000+130.10010—20:16
61M. StoneR101+140.52000—19:36
9J. EichelC033+320.120002918:08
21B. HowdenC112+140.720106715:59
16P. DorofeyevR000+130.25002—15:46
49I. BarbashevL022000.00100—15:21
5J. LauzonD112+220.14210—15:16
10C. SissonsC101+120.561206713:24
26N. DowdC000020.013105712:58
48T. HertlC000000.190005012:57
6K. KorczakD000+200.00102—11:55
22C. SmithR000030.14210—11:17
19R. SmithR000+120.00000—11:03
55K. KolesarR000010.00220—10:51
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)32311.9693.25+2.2560:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).