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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
3
Final/OTTV ESPN, SN1·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 in overtime, Evan Bouchard scoring at 3:10. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Bouchard's goal at 3:10 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.4, VGK 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 29, VGK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.5 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evan Bouchard (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mark Stone (2 G), 3. Ivan Barbashev (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Stone2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM182901012429
VGKVGK082101704329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    M. Savoie(13)
    C. McDavid (79), E. Bouchard (64)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:52

2nd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(22)
    J. Eichel (51), I. Barbashev (31)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:09
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(41)
    V. Podkolzin (16), M. Ekholm (33)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:27
  3. VGK
    M. Stone(23)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:51
  4. EDM
    Z. Hyman(30)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:42

3rd period

  1. VGK
    I. Barbashev(21)
    P. Dorofeyev (25), S. Theodore (26)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:21

Overtime

  1. EDM
    E. Bouchard(20)
    C. McDavid (80)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:10

Penalties

EDM 15 PIM·VGK 13 PIM

1st

  • 3:07VGKRasmus Andersson · Holdingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 7:59VGKCole Smith · Fightingdrawn by Connor Murphy5 min
  • 7:59EDMConnor Murphy · Fightingdrawn by Cole Smith5 min
  • 12:56VGKShea Theodore · Hookingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 14:13EDMEvan Bouchard · Interferencedrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 20:00EDMJason Dickinson · Boardingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min
  • 20:00VGKJeremy Lauzon · Roughingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 20:00VGKBrett Howden · Roughingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 20:00EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min

2nd

  • 8:55EDMZach Hyman · Trippingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

OT

  • 1:02EDMZach Hyman · Holdingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Evan Bouchard, OT 3:10 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.18I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.17M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.17M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.15M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.14T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.11M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.10N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.10M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.09J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.08B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.07M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 2.5 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
2.44 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.74 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM49%51%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
29
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/3
15
Penalty minutes
13
15
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000010.08252—25:20
2E. BouchardD112+220.39002—23:31
5C. MurphyD000-110.04135—23:24
97C. McDavidC123+120.120005822:12
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000040.161002919:48
18Z. HymanL101+120.44204—19:10
14M. EkholmD011-120.12010—18:50
22M. SavoieC101+140.190005018:40
92V. PodkolzinR011-210.11210—18:33
96J. WalmanD000+130.14020—17:48
16J. DickinsonC000020.220026415:48
42K. KapanenR000010.03210—15:35
28J. RoslovicC000010.151005014:34
49T. EmbersonD000010.00200—14:14
81J. SamanskiC000+100.00110013:28
19A. HenriqueC000020.220006010:20
46M. JonesL000000.00100—07:41
15R. JarventieL000000.0000010006:39
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(W)29263.8972.50-0.5063:10

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).