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Golden Knights at Oilers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
3
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mitch Marner's goal at 5:49 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 6% to 21%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were VGK 31, EDM 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.3 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 G, 1 A), 3. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK08110213331
EDMEDM2122603421

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(23)
    L. Draisaitl (34), A. Regula (3)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:11
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(9)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (35), C. McDavid (38)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:37

2nd period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(10)PPG
    C. McDavid (39), Z. Hyman (7)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    2:22
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(9)
    D. Nurse (8), R. Nugent-Hopkins (20)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    7:45
  3. VGK
    T. Hertl(14)PPG
    M. Marner (29), N. Hanifin (6)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    12:59

3rd period

  1. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(15)PPG
    T. Hertl (12), N. Hanifin (7)
    snapxG 0.49win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-4
    3:52
  2. VGK
    M. Marner(7)
    T. Hertl (13), N. Hanifin (8)
    snapxG 0.47win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-4
    5:49

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:47EDMAndrew Mangiapane · Hookingdrawn by Ben Hutton2 min
  • 10:57EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 12:58VGKBen Hutton · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 17:26EDMAndrew Mangiapane · Hookingdrawn by Kaedan Korczak2 min

2nd

  • 1:56VGKJeremy Lauzon · Interferencedrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 12:06EDMAdam Henrique · High stickingdrawn by Cole Reinhardt2 min

3rd

  • 3:31EDMAlec Regula · Hookingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 13:32VGKBrett Howden · High stickingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVGK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Mitch Marner, 3rd 5:49 — VGK 6% → 21%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.34C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.20J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.19R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.06A. Regula · On goal · xG 0.05D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01A. Regula · Missed · xG 0.01M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01
EDM4 G · 3.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsEDM
3.93 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.82 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK69%31%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.81 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsEDM
31
Shots on goal
21
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/5
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
32
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
16
17
Giveaways
22
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15N. HanifinD033040.08040—26:28
93M. MarnerR112+130.570005024:00
61M. StoneR000+110.39100—23:39
6K. KorczakD000010.02010—19:50
48T. HertlC123+150.983105419:33
16P. DorofeyevR101060.97010—19:27
2Z. WhitecloudD000-120.05220—17:31
3B. McNabbD000030.13400—16:37
17B. HuttonD000000.00212—16:35
49I. BarbashevL000010.21300—15:33
21B. HowdenC000-110.044025415:10
19R. SmithR000-110.20000—14:59
5J. LauzonD000-110.01212—13:23
20B. SaadL000010.05000—13:12
42B. BowmanR000-100.16000—12:53
10C. SissonsC000-100.003105411:44
55K. KolesarR000-100.07710—09:48
23C. ReinhardtL000-110.02100—07:50
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)21174.8102.67-1.3357:43

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).